赣锋锂业(002460):业绩符合预期,产能建设持续推进
Huaan Securities·2025-11-06 04:11

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Buy (Maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported Q3 2025 results with revenue of 14.62 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 30 million yuan, up 104% year-on-year. The gross margin was 13.5%, an increase of 3.1 percentage points year-on-year. In Q3 2025, revenue reached 6.25 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 44.1% and a year-on-year increase of 35.7%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 560 million yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 364% and a year-on-year increase of 417%. The significant contribution came from non-recurring gains, including a fair value change gain of financial assets of 589 million yuan and gains from the disposal of LAC and other joint ventures [4][6]. Summary by Sections Performance - The company plans to achieve an annual lithium product supply capacity of no less than 600,000 tons of LCE by 2030, covering various paths including brine, ore, clay, and lithium recovery. The lithium salt project in Sichuan has completed debugging and is gradually releasing capacity. The Argentina Mali project has transitioned to solid state, and new lithium battery and energy storage projects in Chongqing and Dongguan are under construction. The company is also advancing solid-state battery technology development, achieving initial mass production of the first generation of solid-liquid hybrid batteries and significant results in the second generation [5][6]. Financial Forecast - Considering the significant improvement in the lithium supply-demand landscape from 2026 to 2027, the company expects net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 413 million yuan, 1.353 billion yuan, and 2.997 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 337, 103, and 46 times [6][8].