GRG Banking(SZ:002152) NORTHEAST SECURITIES·2025-11-06 06:44Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock's performance in the next six months [4]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 7.906 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.08%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 10.51% to 602 million yuan [1]. - The revenue growth is primarily driven by acquisitions, including Zhongjin Payment and Guangdian Wuzhou, which have enhanced the business scale. Guangdian Wuzhou benefits from the domestic computing power substitution trend as a core partner of Huawei's Kunpeng and Ascend servers [1]. - The decline in profit is attributed to a 17.15% increase in operating costs, which outpaced revenue growth, mainly due to the acquisition of low-margin businesses and delayed payment schedules for high-margin government and enterprise information technology services [1]. - The company has obtained the Money Service Operator License in Hong Kong, marking a significant step in its cross-border payment business, enhancing its global service capabilities and financial technology strength [2]. - Guangdian Wuzhou has deepened its collaboration with NVIDIA, providing a one-stop service that integrates NVIDIA's AI technology, which is expected to further drive the company's performance as shipment volumes increase [3]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 12.316 billion yuan, 13.937 billion yuan, and 15.057 billion yuan, respectively, with net profit estimates revised to 824 million yuan, 983 million yuan, and 1.051 billion yuan [3]. Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to have a revenue of 12.316 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 13.34% compared to the previous year. The net profit is expected to be 824 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 10.44% [3]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.33 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 38.89 [3]. - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 32.036 billion yuan, with a total share count of 2,483 million shares [4].