Ruida Futures(SZ:002961) Rui Da Qi Huo·2025-11-06 09:16Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - On Thursday, the HC2601 contract fluctuated widely. Thailand launched an anti - circumvention investigation into hot - rolled steel plates originating from China. The weekly output of hot - rolled coils decreased, but the capacity utilization rate remained above 81%. Apparent demand dropped to around 3.15 million tons, and inventory stopped falling and started to rise. Overall, high - level production and falling apparent demand affected market confidence. Technically, the 1 - hour MACD indicator of the HC2601 contract showed that DIFF and DEA were running at a low level. It is recommended to conduct short - term trading and pay attention to rhythm and risk control [2] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - HC main contract closing price: 3,256 yuan/ton, up 3 yuan [2] - HC main contract position: 1,365,348 lots, down 7,743 lots [2] - HC contract top 20 net position: - 62,167 lots, up 15,323 lots [2] - HC1 - 5 contract spread: - 9 yuan/ton, down 2 yuan [2] - HC Shanghai Futures Exchange warehouse receipt: 129,412 tons, down 889 tons [2] - HC2601 - RB2601 contract spread: 219 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan [2] 3.2 Spot Market - Hangzhou 4.75 hot - rolled coil: 3,320 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan [2] - Guangzhou 4.75 hot - rolled coil: 3,270 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] - Wuhan 4.75 hot - rolled coil: 3,360 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] - Tianjin 4.75 hot - rolled coil: 3,190 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan [2] - HC main contract basis: 64 yuan/ton, up 7 yuan [2] - Hangzhou hot - rolled coil - rebar spread: 100 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan [2] 3.3 Upstream Situation - Qingdao Port 61.5% PB iron ore fines: 782 yuan/wet ton, up 7 yuan [2] - Hebei quasi - first - class metallurgical coke: 1,640 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan [2] - Tangshan 6 - 8mm scrap steel: 2,190 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] - Hebei Q235 billet: 2,930 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan [2] - 45 - port iron ore inventory: 145.3924 million tons, up 1.1859 million tons [2] - Sample coking plant coke inventory: 374,400 tons, up 700 tons [2] - Sample steel mill coke inventory: 6.2888 million tons, down 43,900 tons [2] - Hebei billet inventory: 1.2 million tons, up 4,300 tons [2] 3.4 Industry Situation - 247 steel mill blast furnace operating rate: 81.73%, down 3 percentage points [2] - 247 steel mill blast furnace capacity utilization rate: 88.59%, down 1.33 percentage points [2] - Sample steel mill hot - rolled coil output: 3.1816 million tons, down 54,000 tons [2] - Sample steel mill hot - rolled coil capacity utilization rate: 81.28%, down 1.37 percentage points [2] - Sample steel mill hot - rolled coil factory inventory: 774,300 tons, down 2,300 tons [2] - 33 - city hot - rolled coil social inventory: 3.3302 million tons, up 40,900 tons [2] - Domestic crude steel output: 73.49 million tons, down 3.88 million tons [2] - Steel net export volume: 9.92 million tons, up 910,000 tons [2] 3.5 Downstream Situation - Automobile production: 3.2758 million vehicles, up 460,400 vehicles [2] - Automobile sales: 3.2264 million vehicles, up 369,800 vehicles [2] - Air - conditioner production: 18.0948 million units, up 1.276 million units [2] - Household refrigerator production: 10.1276 million units, up 674,400 units [2] - Household washing machine production: 11.7849 million units, up 1.653 million units [2] 3.6 Industry News - On November 6, Mysteel reported that the actual output of hot - rolled coils was 3.1816 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 54,000 tons; factory inventory was 774,300 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 2,300 tons; social inventory was 3.3302 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 40,900 tons; total inventory was 4.1045 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 38,600 tons; apparent demand was 3.143 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 175,900 tons [2] - According to the preliminary statistics of the Passenger Car Association, in October, the retail sales of new - energy vehicles in the national passenger car market were 1.4 million units, a year - on - year increase of 17% and a month - on - month increase of 8%. The new - energy retail penetration rate of the passenger car market was 58.7% [2]