Western Securities·2025-11-06 11:57Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5][9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 56.627 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.75%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 7.55% to 2.333 billion yuan [1][5]. - The sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) showed steady growth, with a total of 3,260,146 units sold in the first three quarters of 2025, marking an 18.64% increase year-on-year [1][2]. - The company is accelerating its global expansion, with total global sales exceeding 3.7 million units in the first ten months of 2025, and overseas sales of NEVs reaching 785,000 units [2]. - Research and development (R&D) expenses increased by 31.3% to 4.375 billion yuan, accounting for 7.7% of revenue, driven by higher internal R&D investments [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 19.498 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.05% year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.782 billion yuan, down 32.60% [1][5]. - The projected revenue for 2025-2027 is expected to reach 836.63 billion yuan, 993.4 billion yuan, and 1,159.55 billion yuan, with growth rates of 7.7%, 18.7%, and 16.7% respectively [3][8]. Profitability Forecast - The forecasted net profit for 2025-2027 is expected to be 35.35 billion yuan, 47.43 billion yuan, and 58.57 billion yuan, with growth rates of -12.2%, 34.2%, and 24% respectively [3][8]. Valuation Metrics - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 24.7x, 18.4x, and 14.9x respectively [3][8].