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康龙化成(300759):公司简评报告:上调2025年收入指引,经营质量持续改善
Capital Securities·2025-11-06 12:28

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][3] Core Insights - The company has raised its revenue guidance for 2025, reflecting confidence in growth, with a target increase of 12%-16% compared to the previous 10%-15% [7] - The company's operating quality continues to improve, with significant growth in core business segments and a notable increase in new orders [7] - The financial forecasts for 2025 to 2027 indicate a steady revenue growth trajectory, with expected revenues of 140.53 billion yuan, 160.34 billion yuan, and 180.90 billion yuan respectively [4][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 100.86 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 11.41 billion yuan, down 19.8% [7] - The company reported a significant improvement in quarterly performance, with Q3 2025 revenue reaching 36.45 billion yuan, a 13.4% year-on-year increase and a 9.1% quarter-on-quarter increase [7] Business Segments - The laboratory services segment generated revenue of 60.04 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with a gross margin of 45.1%, reflecting a 0.3 percentage point increase year-on-year [7] - The CMC business segment reported revenue of 22.93 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 32.1%, up 1.3 percentage points year-on-year, indicating potential for further improvement [7] Profitability Forecast - The projected net profit for 2025 is 16.69 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -6.9%, followed by a recovery in 2026 and 2027 with growth rates of 28.2% and 19.9% respectively [4][7] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.94 yuan in 2025, increasing to 1.20 yuan in 2026 and 1.44 yuan in 2027 [4][7]