ZBOM(SH:603801) Changjiang Securities·2025-11-06 13:41Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The company is facing operational pressure due to a weak demand environment, but is actively transforming to respond to market changes [2][6] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue, net profit attributable to the parent, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 3.074 billion, 173 million, and 119 million yuan respectively, representing year-on-year declines of 16%, 35%, and 49% [2][6] - In Q3 2025, the revenue, net profit attributable to the parent, and net profit excluding non-recurring items were 1.174 billion, 35 million, and 32 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year declines of 20%, 70%, and 70% [2][6] Revenue Analysis - Revenue is significantly impacted by a decline in bulk business, while retail shows relative resilience, and the whole-house solution contributes incremental growth [2][6] - For the first three quarters, retail, bulk, and export revenues declined by 8%, 43%, and increased by 65% respectively, with whole-house solutions showing better growth [2][6] - In Q3, retail, bulk, and export revenues declined by 14%, 38%, and increased by 54% respectively [2][6] Profitability Analysis - The industry demand pressure has led to a decline in profitability, with gross margin decreasing by 2.6 percentage points year-on-year for the first three quarters [2][6] - In Q3, gross margin decreased by 5.6 percentage points, with net profit margins attributable to the parent and excluding non-recurring items declining by 5.0 and 4.6 percentage points respectively [2][6] Store Optimization - The company has reduced the number of dealerships for kitchen cabinets, wardrobes, and wooden doors by 164, 236, and 8 respectively, focusing on enhancing the resilience of existing stores and optimizing the store structure [2][6] Operational Outlook - The company aims to explore potential and control costs, actively transforming to meet changing consumer trends and firmly executing its overseas strategy [2][6] - The company plans to continue developing whole-house solutions and strengthen its capabilities in this area, while also focusing on high-end and light customization markets [2][6] - The company expects net profits attributable to the parent for 2025-2027 to be approximately 270 million, 300 million, and 360 million yuan, corresponding to PE ratios of 15, 13, and 11 times [2][6]