Raytron(SH:688002) Changjiang Securities·2025-11-06 15:32Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Insights - The company reported strong revenue performance with a total revenue of 4.086 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 29.72%. The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 707 million yuan, up 46.21% year-on-year, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 667 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 50.31% year-on-year [5][6] - In Q3 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 1.542 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 36.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.59%. The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q3 was 356 million yuan, up 37.33% year-on-year and 73.38% quarter-on-quarter, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 338 million yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 44.49% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 72.68% [5][6] Financial Performance - The company maintained a high gross margin of 54.05% in Q3 2025, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.06 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 0.52 percentage points. The expense ratio decreased slightly to 29.33%, leading to a net profit margin increase of 2.48 percentage points to 21.38% [11] - The contract liabilities increased significantly to 320 million yuan at the end of Q3, up 95.75% from the beginning of the period, indicating strong future demand. The inventory balance reached a historical high of 2.121 billion yuan, reflecting the company's proactive preparation for ongoing demand release [11] Strategic Developments - The company has established a comprehensive capability across the entire industry chain from infrared chips, detectors, and mechanisms to complete machines, while also achieving a full-chain layout in the microwave field. This forms a technological closed loop [11] - The integration of AI technology is ongoing, with continuous improvements in core algorithms for intelligent detection and recognition, enhancing technical precision [11] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to the parent company of 950 million yuan, 1.33 billion yuan, and 1.79 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 66.3%, 40.5%, and 35.0% respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 39.2, 27.9, and 20.7 times [11]