格林大华期货早盘提示-20251107

Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the given content. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The global economy is approaching the top region due to the continuous wrong - policies in the United States. The U.S. economic situation shows some concerning signs such as high - level Shiller P/E, consumer slowdown, and large - scale corporate layoffs. Meanwhile, China has advantages in the AI field with a more favorable regulatory environment and lower energy costs [2]. Summary According to Related Catalogs Global Economic News in Macro and Finance - NVIDIA CEO Huang Renxun believes China will win the AI competition because of a more favorable regulatory environment and lower energy costs [1]. - The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects U.S. electricity consumption to reach record highs in 2025 and 2026, driven by factors like AI and data - center expansion. Goldman Sachs predicts that by 2030, AI data centers will increase global electricity demand by 175% compared to 2023 [1]. - XPeng's first humanoid robot features a female form with a "skeleton - muscle - skin" bionic structure and is equipped with XPeng's self - developed physical world large - scale model [1]. - U.S. data centers are purchasing Bloom Energy's solid oxide fuel cells and other small natural - gas - powered devices for power supply needs [1]. - Global bond sales reached a record $5.94 trillion on November 5, 2025, exceeding the 2024 annual high [1]. - The U.S. Treasury is considering increasing the auction size of coupon - bearing and floating - rate Treasury bonds [1]. - Deutsche Bank is evaluating options to hedge risks, including short - selling AI - related stocks and using "synthetic risk transfer" derivatives [1]. - New York City elected its first "democratic socialist" mayor, which may lead to corporate out - flow due to wealth - redistribution policies [1]. Global Economic Logic - The situation of Sino - U.S. economic and trade relations has eased. Goldman Sachs CEO is optimistic about the stock markets in Hong Kong and the Chinese mainland [2]. - The total capacity of U.S. data - center projects under planning or construction exceeds 45 gigawatts, with an expected investment of over $2.5 trillion. There is a shortage of relevant labor in the data - center construction process [2]. - Apollo Global Management warns that there is a huge gap between AI's energy demand and the current global power supply [2]. - The Shiller P/E of the U.S. stock market has reached 40 for the second time in history, similar to the 1999 Internet bubble period [2]. - Goldman Sachs experts point out that consumer slowdown has spread to the middle - income group, especially 25 - 35 - year - old consumers, and large - scale corporate layoffs may be an economic warning signal [2].