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山西证券研究早观点-20251107
Shanxi Securities·2025-11-07 01:54

Group 1: Market Overview - The report highlights a positive trend in the domestic capital market, with major indices showing gains, such as the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.97% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.73% [3] - The average daily trading volume in A-shares reached 2.32 trillion yuan, reflecting a 29.38% increase compared to the previous period [7] - The report notes a mixed performance among major indices from October 27 to October 31, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.11% and the ChiNext Index rising by 0.50% [7] Group 2: Industry Insights - The non-bank financial sector is experiencing a favorable outlook due to deepening capital market reforms, which are expected to enhance the fundamentals of brokerage firms [5][7] - The report discusses the communication industry, emphasizing the strong growth in AI computing demand and the mismatch between short-term performance expectations and actual results [6][8] - The report indicates that the North American cloud service providers (CSPs) are expected to significantly increase their capital expenditures, with a projected total of $443 billion to $632 billion from 2025 to 2027 [8] Group 3: Company Performance - Industrial Fulian (601138.SH) reported a revenue increase of 38.40% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, driven by strong demand for AI servers [15] - The company achieved a net profit of 224.87 billion yuan, reflecting a 48.52% increase year-on-year, with significant growth in its cloud computing and communication equipment segments [15] - Xihang West Flight (000768.SZ) reported a revenue of 302.44 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, marking a 4.94% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 9.92 billion yuan, up 5.15% [11] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a "Buy-A" rating for Industrial Fulian, with projected EPS of 1.78, 2.79, and 3.75 for 2025-2027, indicating strong growth potential in the AI server market [16] - For Xihang West Flight, the report maintains an "Increase-A" rating, forecasting EPS of 0.42, 0.48, and 0.57 for the same period [14] - The report highlights the growth potential of the tire industry, particularly for Wind God Co. (600469.SH), which is expected to benefit from increasing demand for specialty tires and a new production project [24][28]