格林大华期货早盘提示：铁矿-20251107

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for iron ore in the black building materials industry is "long" [1] Group 2: Core View of the Report - The report analyzes the iron ore market, including its price trends, important news, market logic, and trading strategies. It notes that iron ore prices rose on Thursday and fell at night. With the decline in steel production and consumption and the change in the supply - demand relationship of iron ore, it is recommended to hold existing long positions cautiously and set stop - losses [1] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Market Review - Iron ore prices rose on Thursday and fell at night [1] 2. Important News - In October, the bond financing of the real estate industry was 51.24 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 76.9% [1] - According to the C50 Wind Index survey, new loans in October may decrease year - on - year, and the slowdown in government bond issuance may lead to a decline in social financing [1] - President Xi Jinping emphasized the construction goals of Hainan Free Trade Port, including expanding institutional opening - up and improving trade and investment liberalization and facilitation [1] - This week, the supply of five major steel products was 8.5674 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 185,500 tons (2.1%); the total inventory was 15.0357 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 101,900 tons (0.67%); the weekly consumption was 8.6693 million tons, a decrease of 5.4%, with a 7.2% decrease in building material consumption and a 0.2% decrease in plate consumption [1] - This week, the total inventory of imported sinter powder of 114 steel mills was 27.8092 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 974,600 tons, and the total daily consumption of imported sinter powder was 1.1292 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 218,000 tons [1] 3. Market Logic - The arrival of imported ore increased week - on - week, while the global iron ore shipping volume decreased week - on - week. The daily output of molten iron was 2.3422 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 214,000 tons. The profitability rate of steel mills was 39.83%, a decrease of 5.19%. Blast furnaces in Shanxi, Tangshan and other places reduced production and carried out maintenance, and the molten iron output is likely to further decline to 2.2 - 2.3 million tons [1] 4. Trading Strategy - The 750 level has strong support. Be cautious about the downside space. Hold existing long positions cautiously and set stop - losses. The resistance level of the main 2601 contract is 833, and the support level is 750 [1]