原油日报：信实转售中东船货，在途船货维持高位-20251107

Group 1: Market News and Important Data - The price of light crude oil futures for December delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange fell 17 cents to settle at $59.43 per barrel, a decline of 0.29%; the price of Brent crude oil futures for January delivery fell 14 cents to settle at $63.38 per barrel, a decline of 0.22%. The main contract of SC crude oil closed down 1.32% at 454 yuan per barrel [1] - In October 2025, Russia's oil and gas revenues decreased by 26.6% year-on-year from 1.2118 trillion rubles (about $14.9 billion) in the same period last year to 888.6 billion rubles (about $10.9 billion), but increased by 52.6% from the previous month. From January to October, oil and gas revenues decreased by 21.4% to 7.498 trillion rubles (about $92.5 billion) [1] - Nigerian media reported that Nigeria has lost up to $300 billion due to oil theft. The Senate committee investigating the losses recommended that the government set up a special court to prosecute oil thieves and use state funds to reduce pipeline damage [1] - India's largest private refiner, Reliance Industries, is seeking to sell some Middle Eastern oil cargoes to domestic and international buyers. It bought millions of barrels of crude oil from the Middle East last month after US sanctions on Russia [1] - The CEO of energy giant Gunvor said the oil market has become more stable, and oil and gas will continue to grow. Sanctions on Russia and Iran are causing record-high oil storage on ships, preventing a global supply glut [1] Group 2: Investment Logic - There are differences in views on seaborne cargoes. According to Kpler data, more than half of the current seaborne cargo is compliant crude oil, mainly from the Middle East, the US, and Latin America. Due to high freight and demand issues, the physical premium of crude oil from West Africa and Latin America continues to decline, which may lead to a contango structure in the near-term forward curve and stimulate onshore and floating storage [2] Group 3: Strategy - Oil prices will fluctuate in the short term, with a bearish configuration in the medium term. The strategy is to buy far-month contracts and sell near-month contracts to short the Brent spread [3] Group 4: Figures - Figures include the price trend of crude oil futures, the comparison of crude oil futures and domestic refined oil prices, the comparison of crude oil futures and US Treasury yields, the comparison of crude oil futures and copper prices, the comparison of crude oil futures and gold prices, and China's refinery profits [5]