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第一创业晨会纪要-20251107
First Capital Securities·2025-11-07 03:52

Group 1: Semiconductor Industry - Huahong Semiconductor reported Q3 2025 revenue of $635.2 million, meeting expectations with a year-on-year growth of 20.7%, achieving a historical high [4] - Gross margin was 13.5%, exceeding guidance and increasing by 1.3 percentage points year-on-year and 2.6 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily driven by an increase in average selling price (ASP) [4] - The company expects Q4 revenue to be between $650 million and $660 million, with a gross margin range of 12%-14%, indicating a continued improvement trend in the semiconductor industry [4] Group 2: Biotechnology Industry - BeiGene reported Q3 2025 revenue of 10.077 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.1%, with a net profit of 689 million yuan compared to a loss of approximately 900 million yuan in the same period last year [4] - The significant growth was mainly driven by sales of self-developed products such as Baiyueze and licensed products, with Baiyueze achieving global revenue of $1 billion, a 51% year-on-year increase [4] - The company raised its 2025 revenue forecast lower limit from 35.8 billion yuan to 36.2 billion yuan, maintaining a gross margin in the high range of 80%-90%, indicating the increasing realization of domestic innovative drug R&D capabilities in overseas markets [4] Group 3: Automotive Industry - In October, the national retail sales of passenger cars reached 2.387 million units, a year-on-year increase of 6%, with the new energy vehicle (NEV) market retailing 1.4 million units, up 17% year-on-year [7] - The penetration rate of NEVs reached 58.7%, with all growth in passenger cars coming from NEVs as fuel vehicles continued to decline [7] - The average price of NEVs in September was 158,000 yuan, down 8% year-on-year, indicating a potential weak price trend despite strong volume in November and December [7] Group 4: Robotics Industry - The production of industrial robots reached 595,000 units, and service robots reached 13.5 million sets in the first three quarters, exceeding the total production for 2024 [7] - The revenue of the national robotics industry grew by 29.5% year-on-year, driven by automation in manufacturing and multi-scenario applications [7] - With supportive policies like the "Guidance on the Innovative Development of Humanoid Robots," the robotics industry is expected to maintain structural high prosperity, particularly for companies with system integration and software capabilities [7] Group 5: Entertainment Industry - Damai Entertainment announced a profit forecast for the first half of the fiscal year, expecting net profit to exceed 500 million yuan, with a growth rate exceeding 48%, significantly surpassing market expectations [9] - The core driver of this performance was the explosive growth of the Alibaba IP business, particularly from new IPs like Chiikawa, which significantly boosted related business revenue and profits [9] - There is a growing market expectation that the reopening of Korean group performances in China will become a core catalyst for growth in Damai's ticketing business next year [9]