UTour (SZ:002707) GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-11-07 06:29Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 5.241 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.96%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 67 million yuan, down 45.73% year-on-year [1] - The retail business is expanding rapidly through a franchise model, with plans to increase the number of retail stores from 2,500 to 5,000 by 2027 [1][2] - The company is positioned as a leader in the outbound group travel market, with strong product and brand value, as well as robust supply chain and resource integration capabilities [2] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.366 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.35%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders was 27 million yuan, down 48.64% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 10.21%, a decrease of 2.78 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to intensified competition in the group travel market [2] - The company expects revenues of 7.224 billion yuan, 8.050 billion yuan, and 9.119 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.9%, 11.4%, and 13.3% [2][3] Business Segments - The wholesale travel business remains the core revenue driver for the company, with a recovery rate of 87.8% in the international aviation market compared to 2019 [1] - The retail business is leveraging digital technologies such as the "U Protection" service plan and AI assistants to enhance operational efficiency and customer experience [1] Market Outlook - The company is actively expanding into inbound tourism and other trending business areas, which is expected to open up long-term growth opportunities [2]