不只高低切，更是反内卷

Group 1 - The report highlights the ongoing "anti-involution" policies that have been catalyzed by recent government actions, which are expected to extend investment durations and shift market dynamics towards supply-side constraints and orderly competition [2][3][4] - The "anti-involution" policies are now integrated into the five-year plan, indicating a shift in focus from short-term inventory cycles to medium-term capacity cycles, which is anticipated to positively influence prices and performance in the coming year [3][4][14] - The report notes that the current bull market is transitioning from liquidity-driven to inflation-driven, with M1 and corporate cash recovery providing a conducive environment for inflation to return, thereby enhancing the elasticity of tightly supplied cyclical products [4][5][17] Group 2 - The report identifies specific industries that are likely to benefit from the "anti-involution" policies, particularly those with tight supply conditions, including non-ferrous metals, steel, coal, petrochemicals, and certain consumer sectors [6][26] - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring cyclical industries that are undervalued yet exhibit high elasticity, such as coal, steel, and construction materials, which are expected to see significant profit growth as the economic environment improves [5][26] - The report suggests that the recovery of commodity prices, such as polysilicon and coal, indicates a potential bottoming out of prices, which could lead to a new cycle of profit growth driven by the "anti-involution" measures [26]