贵金属数据日报-20251107

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - On November 6th, the main contract of Shanghai gold futures closed up 0.79% to 917.8 yuan/gram, and the main contract of Shanghai silver futures closed up 1.99% to 11,427 yuan/kilogram [3]. - The public court debate of the US Supreme Court, where judges generally questioned the legality of tariffs, increased market uncertainty. Coupled with the alleviation of the impact of the tight dollar liquidity, it boosted the recovery of precious metal prices. However, the US economic data is stable, and the strong performance of the service - sector PMI in October highlights the resilience of the US economy, which still poses a certain impact on the December interest - rate cut expectation. Therefore, precious metal prices may remain volatile in the short term, with limited upside space, and are expected to gradually stabilize and maintain range - bound fluctuations. It is recommended to focus on long - term allocation by buying on dips [3]. - In the medium - to - long - term, the Fed is still in an interest - rate cut cycle. Global geopolitical uncertainty persists, the US debt is unsustainable, and great - power competition intensifies, which will long - term increase the credit risk of the US dollar. Global central banks' gold purchases continue, so the medium - to - long - term center of gold prices is likely to continue to rise. It is recommended that long - term investors allocate on dips [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price Tracking of Internal and External Markets of Gold and Silver - On November 6th, 2025, the prices of London gold spot, London silver spot, COMEX gold, COMEX silver, AU2512, AG2512, AU (T + D), and AG (T + D) were 3,996.53 dollars/ounce, 48.36 dollars/ounce, 4,005.80 dollars/ounce, 48.20 dollars/ounce, 917.80 yuan/gram, 11,427 yuan/kilogram, 915.50 yuan/gram, and 11,408 yuan/kilogram respectively. Compared with November 5th, their respective increases were 0.8%, 1.4%, 0.8%, 1.6%, 0.6%, 1.3%, 0.6%, and 1.3% [3]. Spread/Ratio Price Tracking - On November 6th, 2025, the gold TD - SHFE active price spread was - 2.3 yuan/gram, the silver TD - SHFE active spread was - 19 yuan/kilogram, the gold internal - external (TD - London) spread was 4.95 yuan/gram, the silver internal - external (TD - London) spread was - 922 yuan/kilogram, the SHFE gold - silver main contract ratio was 80.32, the COMEX gold - silver main contract ratio was 83.11, AU2602 - 2512 was 2.90 yuan/gram, and AG2602 - 2512 was 25 yuan/kilogram. Compared with November 5th, their respective changes were - 13.5%, 18.8%, - 8.0%, 1.6%, - 0.7%, - 0.9%, 3.6%, and 4.2% [3]. Position Data - As of November 5th, 2025, the gold ETF - SPDR was 1,038.63 tons, the silver ETF - SLV was 15,150.70957 tons, the non - commercial long positions of COMEX gold were 332,808 contracts, the non - commercial short positions were 66,059 contracts, the non - commercial net long positions were 266,749 contracts, the non - commercial long positions of COMEX silver were 72,318 contracts, the non - commercial short positions were 20,042 contracts, and the non - commercial net long positions were 52,276 contracts. Compared with November 4th, their respective changes were 0.00%, - 0.11%, 1.85%, 9.43%, 0.13%, 0.97%, - 0.21%, and 1.43% [3]. Inventory Data - On November 6th, 2025, the SHFE gold inventory was 87,816 kilograms, and the SHFE silver inventory was 639,940 kilograms. On November 5th, the COMEX gold inventory was 37,881,682 troy ounces, and the COMEX silver inventory was 481,457,974 troy ounces. Compared with the previous day, the changes in SHFE gold, SHFE silver, COMEX gold, and COMEX silver inventories were 0.00%, - 2.47%, 0.00%, and - 0.19% respectively [3]. Interest Rate/Exchange Rate/Stock Market - On November 6th, 2025, the US dollar/Chinese yuan central parity rate was 7.09. On November 5th, the US dollar index was 100.16, the 2 - year US Treasury yield was 3.63%, the 10 - year US Treasury yield was 4.17%, the VIX was 18.01, the S&P 500 was 6,796.29, and the NYWEX crude oil was 59.64. Compared with the previous day, their respective changes were - 0.05%, - 0.05%, 1.40%, 1.71%, - 5.21%, 0.37%, and - 1.31% [3].