Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the communication industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [2][42]. Core Insights - 2025 is a critical year for the initiation of 6G standard research, with global discussions expected to inject strong innovative momentum into the vision of "Internet of Everything" [3][38]. - The consensus on adopting a single architecture SA model for 6G standard formulation has been largely achieved, indicating a streamlined approach compared to 5G [3][20]. - The communication industry is currently in a phase of technological iteration and policy benefits, with new growth drivers emerging from AI, quantum communication, and low-altitude economy [3][38]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance Review - The communication sector index rose by 2.41% over the past two weeks (10/24-11/6), outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.52 percentage points, ranking 11th among 31 sectors [3][10]. - Year-to-date, the communication sector has increased by 64.19%, surpassing the CSI 300 index by 44.92 percentage points [3][10]. Industry News and Company Announcements - The National Radio and Television Administration reported 207 million cable TV users and 39.96 million broadcasting 5G users as of Q3 2025 [3][14]. - Smartphone sales in Q3 2025 decreased by 2.7% year-on-year, indicating a soft consumer purchasing sentiment [3][15]. - The smartphone chip market is expected to see a significant shift, with advanced process shipments projected to exceed 50% for the first time [3][19]. Industry Data Updates - As of September 2025, the mobile phone user base reached approximately 1.828 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.78% [3][26]. - The total length of optical cable lines reached about 74.44 million kilometers, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.63% [3][29]. - The number of 5G base stations reached 4.705 million, accounting for 36.6% of total mobile base stations, with a net increase of 455,000 from the previous year [3][35]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that align with the themes of "technology commercialization + policy catalysis + performance certainty," highlighting potential opportunities in the sector [3][38]. - Recommended stocks include China Mobile (600941.SH), China Telecom (601728.SH), and Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (601869.SH) [3][39].
通信行业双周报(2025、10、24-2025、11、6):6G标准制定中采用单一架构SA模式已基本达成共识-20251107
Dongguan Securities·2025-11-07 09:22