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消费者服务行业双周报(2025、10、24-2025、11、6):“十五五”规划建议提出拓展入境消费-20251107
Dongguan Securities·2025-11-07 09:22

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" investment rating for the consumer services industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [31]. Core Insights - The consumer services industry index rose by 2.17% from October 24, 2025, to November 6, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by approximately 0.28 percentage points during the same period [8][31]. - The report highlights the positive impact of the 2026 holiday arrangements, particularly the nine-day Spring Festival holiday, which is expected to stimulate domestic travel demand [31]. - Recent government policies, including the "14th Five-Year Plan" recommendations and improvements to duty-free shop policies, are anticipated to further support the recovery of inbound and domestic tourism [31][21][25]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The consumer services index continued its upward trend, outperforming the CSI 300 index [8]. - All sub-sectors within the consumer services industry experienced gains, with tourism and leisure leading at 3.44% [9]. - A total of 33 listed companies in the industry reported positive returns, with the top five performers being Fangzhitech, *ST Zhanggu, Caesar Travel, China Duty Free, and Chuangye Heima [12]. Industry News - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes expanding inbound consumption and implementing paid staggered vacations [23]. - The 2026 holiday schedule includes a nine-day Spring Festival break, leading to a threefold increase in flight searches on travel platforms [21]. - The Ministry of Finance announced improvements to duty-free shop policies effective November 1, 2025, aimed at boosting consumption [25]. Company Announcements - China Duty Free reported a revenue of 39.862 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decline of 7.34% [28]. - Long White Mountain announced a stock issuance to optimize its capital structure, raising approximately 236 million yuan [26]. - ST Zhangjiajie was accepted for reorganization by the court, leading to a temporary suspension of its stock [27]. Weekly Perspective - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Jinjiang Hotels, Changbai Mountain, Emei Mountain A, Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism, and China Duty Free, which are expected to benefit from the recovery in leisure travel demand and supportive policies [31][32].