Dongguan Securities·2025-11-07 09:22Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the automotive industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by over 10% in the next six months [39]. Core Insights - In October, the national retail sales of passenger cars reached 2.387 million units, a year-on-year increase of 6% and a month-on-month increase of 7%. Cumulatively, retail sales for the year reached 19.395 million units, up 9% year-on-year [35][22]. - The report anticipates a surge in demand for new energy vehicles (NEVs) before the adjustment of tax incentives in 2026, which is expected to stimulate consumer purchases [35][36]. - The automotive sector has shown resilience, with the automotive index rising 23.72% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.44% [11][14]. Industry Data Tracking - As of November 6, 2025, raw material prices have seen declines: steel down 0.20%, aluminum down 0.37%, copper down 0.97%, lithium carbonate down 0.74%, and synthetic rubber down 5.69% [18][19]. - The NEV market retail sales for October reached 1.4 million units, a 17% increase year-on-year, with cumulative sales for the year at 10.27 million units, up 23% [35][22]. Industry News - Shanghai is expanding the application of new energy logistics vehicles in urban delivery and postal services, promoting the use of new energy heavy trucks [21]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasizes the integration of AI with smart connected vehicles and other technologies [27]. - China accounted for 68% of the global new energy vehicle market share from January to September 2025 [28]. Corporate News - Xpeng plans to mass-produce advanced humanoid robots by the end of 2026 and will launch three Robotaxi models in the same year [29][30]. - BYD's new model "Summer" is set to launch at a starting price of 196,800 yuan, with significant improvements in electric range and efficiency [31]. - Changan Automobile reported a total sales volume of 278,400 units in October, marking an 11% year-on-year increase [34]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies enhancing brand competitiveness through smart technology, such as BYD and Seres [35][36]. - It also highlights the potential of the smart driving industry chain, recommending companies like Fuyao Glass and Joyson Electronics [35][36]. - For the new energy bus sector, Yutong Bus is identified as a beneficiary of the "old-for-new" policy [35][36].