金融产品每周见：消费行业基金：从投资能力分析到基金经理画像-20251107

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Based on fund holdings, consumption - related funds can be classified into five types, with most fund managers adopting the "segmented track (mainly liquor)" strategy [3]. - Consumption - related funds can generate relatively stable excess returns in the long - term compared to the sector index, are relatively good at stock - picking in certain industries, and it's difficult to identify their stock - picking ability for consumer stocks compared to all - industry funds [3]. - When comparing consumption - related funds with different style characteristics from seven dimensions, high turnover may lead to high returns recently, high - ROE style funds usually have high dividend attributes, etc. [3]. - To screen the observation list of consumption - related funds, quantitative indicators such as excess performance momentum, performance in favorable and unfavorable environments, stock - picking ability, etc. can be referred to [3]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Classification of Consumption - Related Funds - The classification method is based on the fund's full - position data and heavy - position stock data in a certain sector. For consumption funds, some Hong Kong stocks are additionally included. Most of the top 10 consumption - related funds in terms of scale have some commonalities in allocation [6]. - Consumption - related funds are classified into five types: consumption + satellite, sector rotation, segmented track, consumption rotation, and consumption equilibrium, with "segmented track (mainly liquor)" being the most commonly adopted strategy [3]. 3.2 Holding Characteristics: Can Consumption - Related Funds Create Positive Excess Returns? - As a whole, consumption - related funds have similar performance to the consumption sector index before 2025, and have achieved certain excess returns compared to the index since this year [22]. - Consumption - related funds are relatively good at stock - picking in industries such as household appliances, textile and apparel, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, etc., and have prominent excess returns in some industries during certain periods [23][26]. - It's difficult to determine whether consumption - related fund managers have stronger stock - picking ability for consumer stocks compared to all - industry funds [28]. - Consumption - related funds prefer to allocate liquor in food and beverage, and their individual - stock allocation is relatively stable. They had positions in new - consumption stocks earlier [36]. - Through cluster analysis, different types of consumption - related funds can be identified, such as those focusing on agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, those focusing on liquor investment, etc. [39] 3.3 Comparison of Consumption - Related Funds with Different Style Characteristics - In terms of turnover trading, high - turnover consumption - related funds have better short - term performance recently, and some liquor - themed funds with low turnover have return drag. In the long - term, both high - and low - turnover funds have excellent performers [42][44]. - In terms of holding style, funds with high ROE generally have high dividend attributes. Different segmented tracks have significant differences in market - value styles [48][52]. - In terms of holding popularity, the structure of market - preferred stocks in the consumption sector has changed significantly, and there are excellent performers in various types of products [53]. - In terms of left - and right - side investment, consumption - related funds are generally on the right side of the market median, and there are excellent performers on both sides [59]. - In terms of stock - picking ability, by calculating the skewness, kurtosis, and mean/standard deviation of stock - picking returns, funds with strong stock - picking ability can be found [60][62]. - In terms of adaptability to different market environments, different types of products show different adaptability results, and there are products with strong performance in favorable or unfavorable environments [63][65]. - In terms of segmented - track rotation, there are both products with good and poor rotation effects among consumption - related funds [71]. 3.4 Observation List of Consumption - Related Funds - The screening of the observation list refers to quantitative indicators such as excess performance momentum, performance in favorable and unfavorable environments, stock - picking ability, left - and right - side investment ability, and segmented - track rotation effect. Other factors such as the fund manager's tenure and fund scale are also considered [75]. - The observation list includes funds like E Fund Long - Term Value, Cathay Pacific Consumption Optimization, Changxin Multi - Benefit, etc. [3][76]