短期延续震荡和风格扩散

Market Trends - The market is expected to maintain a balanced style between large and small caps towards the end of the year, influenced by policies, external events, liquidity, and relative profitability[4] - The earnings growth rates for the Shanghai Composite 50 and CSI 300 indices for Q3 2025 are 4.9% and 5.2%, respectively, indicating stronger performance compared to smaller caps[8] Industry Performance - High-growth industries such as non-ferrous metals, media, electronics, and new energy are likely to outperform due to strong earnings reported in Q3 2025[17] - Policy-driven sectors, including artificial intelligence, robotics, and traditional cyclical industries, are expected to perform well as government support continues[17] Economic Indicators - The economy is in a weak recovery phase, with manufacturing PMI and year-on-year growth in housing sales showing declines[1] - Industrial enterprise profit growth is expected to continue its structural recovery, with Q3 earnings showing improvement compared to H1 2025[1] Liquidity and Risk Appetite - Macro liquidity is likely to remain loose, with expectations of continued central bank support as year-end funding pressures arise[1] - Risk appetite is expected to remain neutral, influenced by stable growth policies and reduced geopolitical risks[1] Investment Strategy - A balanced allocation strategy is recommended, focusing on technology growth and select cyclical sectors, as well as core assets[1] - Industries with high valuation attractiveness include power equipment, media, automotive, and electronics[1]