Guolian Minsheng Securities·2025-11-08 14:31Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the insurance industry [1][85]. Core Insights - The insurance sector is experiencing improvements in both liability and asset sides, benefiting from a recovery in the capital markets [1][85]. - The report highlights that the new business value (NBV) for life insurance continues to show positive growth, with varying performance in new policies across different companies [3][12]. - The property and casualty (P&C) insurance sector is seeing improvements in the combined operating ratio (COR) due to reduced disaster losses and strategic adjustments [38][56]. - The recovery in equity markets is driving an increase in net profit growth for insurance companies [68][80]. Summary by Sections Life Insurance: NBV Continues to Improve, New Policy Performance Varies - The NBV growth for listed life insurance companies in 9M2025 shows a positive trend, with year-on-year growth rates as follows: PICC Life (+76.6%), New China Life (+50.8%), Ping An Life (+46.2%), China Life (+41.8%), and Taikang Life (+31.2%) [8][17]. - In Q3 2025, the NBV growth rates for major companies were: Ping An Life (+58.3%) and Taikang Life (+29.4%), indicating a further increase compared to Q2 2025 [9][12]. - New policy premium growth varied among companies, with New China Life (+59.8%) and PICC Life (+33.8%) leading, while Ping An Life (+2.3%) showed minimal growth [17][24]. Property and Casualty Insurance: Improved COR Due to Reduced Disaster Losses - The P&C insurance sector's premium income growth in 9M2025 was as follows: Ping An P&C (+7.0%), PICC P&C (+3.5%), and Taikang P&C (+0.1%) [44][49]. - The COR for P&C insurance companies improved year-on-year, with PICC P&C at 96.1%, Ping An P&C at 97.0%, and Taikang P&C at 97.6% [61][67]. Investment: Recovery in Equity Markets Boosts Net Profit Growth - The annualized total investment return rates for 9M2025 were: New China Life (8.6%), China P&C (7.2%), and PICC (7.2%) [74][80]. - The net profit growth for listed insurance companies in 9M2025 was led by China Life (+60.5%) and New China Life (+58.9%), with all companies reporting positive growth [80][81]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends maintaining an "Outperform" rating for the insurance industry, highlighting potential growth in NBV and improvements in COR for P&C insurance [85]. - Key stock recommendations include China P&C, PICC, New China Life, and Ping An, based on their expected performance and market positioning [85].