重视铝的配置机会，稀土继续涨价

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [4] Core Views - The report emphasizes the investment opportunities in aluminum and the continued price increase of rare earth metals. Recent expectations of reduced production in overseas electrolytic aluminum plants have raised concerns about supply. The rapid expansion of AI computing power may alter the electricity consumption structure, potentially impacting future electrolytic aluminum projects due to the long construction cycle of power plants. The Ministry of Commerce has announced the suspension of the implementation of four rare earth export control measures, leading to a moderate increase in rare earth spot prices. The overall outlook remains positive for aluminum, rare earths, copper, tin, gold, silver, cobalt, tantalum, and uranium [1][2][3]. Summary by Sections Non-Ferrous Metals - Concerns about electrolytic aluminum supply have arisen due to expected production cuts in overseas plants. The rapid growth of AI computing may change electricity consumption patterns, affecting future electrolytic aluminum projects [1]. - The Ministry of Commerce's decision to suspend certain rare earth export controls has led to a moderate increase in rare earth prices, with low inventory levels suggesting a potential replenishment cycle [1]. - The report maintains a positive outlook on metals including aluminum, rare earths, copper, tin, gold, silver, cobalt, tantalum, and uranium [1]. Precious Metals - COMEX gold and silver closed at $3995.2 and $48.0 per ounce, with slight increases of +0.33% and +0.04% respectively. The Federal Reserve may soon need to expand its balance sheet through bond purchases to meet liquidity demands [2]. - The report suggests a continued long-term upward trend in gold prices, supported by central bank and ETF buying. Silver prices may experience short-term volatility but are expected to maintain long-term elasticity [2]. Industrial Metals - Copper prices on LME closed at $10,695 per ton, down 1.1% from the previous week. Supply chain issues in Tanzania and Zambia are affecting copper trade, while downstream demand is showing signs of recovery [2][3]. - Aluminum prices on LME closed at $2,862 per ton, with a slight decrease of 1.6%. The report notes stable domestic electrolytic aluminum production capacity and tight liquidity in aluminum ingots [3]. - Tin prices are expected to remain stable due to a recovery in domestic refined tin production and slow progress in Myanmar's tin mining exports [8]. Strategic Metals - Rare earth prices have shown a slight increase, with the report anticipating a recovery in export demand and increased purchasing intentions from downstream manufacturers [9]. - Cobalt prices are under pressure due to tight supply and reduced purchasing intentions from downstream manufacturers, but a long-term upward trend is expected due to supply constraints [10].