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产业链供需两旺景气度回升,六氟价格延续上行
Huaxin Securities·2025-11-09 07:33

Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in the supply-demand structure of the new energy vehicle (NEV) industry, with record production and sales in September 2025, achieving 1.617 million and 1.604 million units respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 23.7% and 24.6% [3][48] - The report emphasizes that the price of lithium hexafluorophosphate has entered an upward phase due to strong demand and tight supply, while the overall valuation of core companies in the industry remains at historically low levels, indicating potential investment opportunities [3][78] Market Tracking - The report notes that the electric power equipment industry index increased by 4.98% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.16 percentage points [14] - The NEV index, lithium battery index, and energy storage index have shown strong performance with year-to-date increases of 51.49%, 68.20%, and 64.90% respectively [22] Lithium Battery Industry Price Tracking - The report details that lithium prices have fluctuated, with lithium hexafluorophosphate increasing by 13.0% this week, while other materials like lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide saw slight declines [30][34] - Year-to-date, lithium hexafluorophosphate has risen by 94.4%, and cobalt prices have increased by approximately 125.9%, driving up the prices of ternary materials [30] Production and Sales Data Tracking - In the first nine months of 2025, NEV production and sales reached 11.243 million and 11.228 million units, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 35.2% and 34.9% [48] - The report indicates that NEVs accounted for 46.1% of total new car sales in China during this period [48] Industry Dynamics - The report mentions significant developments in the industry, including the announcement of new technologies by XPeng Motors and Tesla's plans for a fully autonomous vehicle without a steering wheel [67][68] - It also highlights the rapid growth of Baidu's Apollo Go autonomous taxi service, which has surpassed 250,000 weekly orders [69] Key Company Announcements - The report outlines several strategic investments, including Strong瑞技术's investment in aluminum technology and 宁德时代's acquisition of a stake in 天华新能 to secure lithium supply [72][73] - 天赐材料 has signed long-term supply agreements with 中创新航 and 国轩高科 for electrolyte products, enhancing supply chain stability [73] Industry Rating and Investment Strategy - The report maintains a "recommended" rating for the NEV industry, emphasizing the continued policy support and marginal optimization of the supply-demand structure [78] - It suggests focusing on companies in promising sectors such as solid-state batteries, liquid cooling technologies, and robotics, with specific recommendations for companies like 宁德时代 and 尚太科技 [78]