中国核建（601611）：毛利率有所改善，关注核聚变催化

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - The company achieved operating revenue of 73.938 billion yuan in the first three quarters, a year-on-year decrease of 6.32%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.106 billion yuan, down 23.96% year-on-year, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 1.082 billion yuan, a decrease of 28.82% year-on-year [5][11] - In Q3 alone, the operating revenue was 20.466 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.78%, with a net profit of 309 million yuan, down 38.25% year-on-year [5][11] - The company’s gross margin improved, with a comprehensive gross margin of 10.39% for the first three quarters, an increase of 0.86 percentage points year-on-year. In Q3, the gross margin was 11.91%, also up 0.86 percentage points year-on-year [11] - The company signed new contracts worth 112.962 billion yuan in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 5.84%, but the new contracts in Q3 were 25.813 billion yuan, down 14.23% year-on-year [11] - The operating cash flow showed a net outflow of 15.452 billion yuan in the first three quarters, an increase of 1.791 billion yuan in outflow year-on-year, with a cash collection ratio of 86.06%, up 13.86 percentage points year-on-year [11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported total operating revenue of 113.541 billion yuan for 2024A, with projected revenues of 109.880 billion yuan for 2025E and 111.943 billion yuan for 2026E [15] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 2.064 billion yuan for 2024A, decreasing to 1.832 billion yuan in 2025E [15] Market Position - The company has benefited from the approval of 10 nuclear power units for four consecutive years, indicating a stable approval rhythm for nuclear projects in China [11] - The recent approval of five nuclear power projects, totaling 10 units, is expected to generate an investment exceeding 200 billion yuan, providing a significant market opportunity for the company [11]