Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the power sector [4] Core Views - The rise in coal prices is expected to support electricity price expectations, with the current price of 809 CNY/ton for Q5500 coal, marking a new high for the year [12][10] - The continuous operation of the electricity spot market across 28 provinces indicates significant progress towards a unified national electricity market [12][10] Summary by Sections Industry Insights - Coal prices have surged, creating a favorable environment for the upcoming 2026 electricity price negotiations. The coal market is currently characterized by tight supply and demand, with coal production declining for three consecutive months from July to September [12][10] - The electricity spot market has entered continuous operation, with 28 provinces now participating. This transition marks a significant shift from a planned to a market-driven electricity production organization [12][10] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,997.56 points, up 1.08%, while the CSI 300 Index rose 0.82%. The CITIC Power and Utilities Index increased by 2.30%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 1.48 percentage points [58][59] Investment Recommendations - Focus on the thermal power sector, particularly companies like Huaneng International, Huadian International, and Zhejiang Energy, as coal prices rebound and performance expectations improve [3] - Emphasize investments in undervalued green energy sectors, particularly in Hong Kong-listed green energy and wind power operators [3] - Monitor the hydropower sector, with a recommendation to pay attention to companies like Yangtze Power and Guotou Power [3] Key Company Announcements - Huaneng announced a significant investment in a new integrated heat and power project in Heilongjiang, with a total investment of 12.043 billion CNY [69] - Shenzhen Nanshan Thermal Power received a government subsidy of 8.05 million CNY, representing 36.75% of its net profit for the last fiscal year [69]
煤价上涨有望支撑电价预期,28省电力现货市场已连续运行