Changjiang Securities·2025-11-09 12:31Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the construction and engineering industry [11]. Core Insights - In September, central enterprise orders improved, and the decline in investment narrowed. The manufacturing PMI fell significantly in October, indicating a marginal weakening in industry prosperity, while the construction PMI slightly decreased, aligning with seasonal trends [6][20]. - Fixed asset investment in September was 4.5 trillion yuan, down 7.1% year-on-year, with a cumulative fixed asset investment of 37.2 trillion yuan for the year, a decrease of 0.5% year-on-year. Narrowly defined infrastructure investment showed a smaller decline compared to previous months [7][25]. - The physical workload showed improvement in October, with cement output declining at a slower rate, and cement dispatch volumes increased marginally [8][50]. - Project funding is being prioritized, with a funding rate of 59.7% for construction sites as of October 28, showing a slight week-on-week increase [9][57]. Summary by Sections Investment & Orders - Central enterprise orders improved in September, with most central enterprises showing positive growth in domestic orders. Notably, China Chemical and China Railway Construction saw significant growth rates of 18.11% and 9.38%, respectively [7][42][44]. - The overall order growth for major construction central enterprises in Q3 was 5.02% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in both domestic and overseas markets [42][44]. Physical Workload - Cement production saw a year-on-year decline of 5.2% from January to September, with a more pronounced drop of 8.6% in September alone. However, cement dispatch volumes showed a week-on-week increase of 8.0% in late October [8][50]. Project Funding - The funding rate for construction projects was reported at 59.7%, with non-residential projects at 61.15% and residential projects at 52.81% as of late October. The issuance of special bonds reached 39.646 billion yuan year-to-date, with a 90% completion rate [9][59].