Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the industry, indicating a recommendation for investment based on strong demand and growth prospects [5]. Core Insights - The company reported Q3 2025 revenue of $2.308 billion, exceeding guidance, with a year-over-year growth of 23% and a quarter-over-quarter growth of 21% [1]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 29.9%, which is a decrease of 9 percentage points year-over-year but an increase of 3.5 percentage points quarter-over-quarter, also exceeding guidance [1]. - The company expects actual demand growth of approximately 25% in 2026, driven by strong NAND product demand that continues to exceed supply [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue was $2.308 billion, surpassing the guidance range of $2.1 to $2.2 billion, primarily due to price increases [1]. - Non-GAAP EPS for Q3 2025 was $1.22, exceeding the guidance of $0.70 to $0.90 [1][19]. - Q4 2025 guidance indicates revenue between $2.55 billion and $2.65 billion, with a midpoint growth of 12.65% quarter-over-quarter [3][22]. Market Segments - The edge computing terminal market revenue reached $1.387 billion, a quarter-over-quarter increase of 26%, accounting for 60.1% of total revenue [2]. - Data center revenue was $269 million, also up 26% quarter-over-quarter, with eSSD expected to enter certification processes with two major clients by 2026 [2]. - Consumer revenue was $652 million, reflecting an 11% quarter-over-quarter increase, supported by collaborations with major gaming companies [2]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply-demand balance for NAND products is expected to remain tight, with actual demand growth projected at 15% under supply constraints and 25% without [3][40]. - The company anticipates a supply growth of 8% in 2025 and 17% in 2026, with current capacity utilization at 100% [3][40]. Strategic Focus - The company is focusing on the BiCS8 technology transition, which is expected to enhance performance, efficiency, and density, driving growth in data center and enterprise SSD markets [15][29]. - The management emphasizes maintaining a balance between growth investments and shareholder returns, with a continued focus on R&D and capital allocation [21][30].
闪迪25Q3跟踪报告：25Q3收入及毛利率超指引上限，上修2026全年需求增速指引