负债行为跟踪：科技分化，寻求均衡

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Views of the Report - This week, US tech stocks tumbled after earnings, and the domestic tech sector showed a "sell - the - news" situation. Micro - cap and dividend stocks led the gains again. The divergence in funds for tech stocks is significant, and the relay funds for the tech sector are still lacking. It is recommended to allocate assets in a balanced way and choose sectors weakly related to tech and relatively under - performing previously for hedging [5][6][8] 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Asset Price Performance 3.1.1 Performance of Major Asset Classes - This week (from November 3rd to November 7th, 2025), overseas stock markets declined, while A - shares and H - shares performed well. Global non - ferrous metal prices dropped. US Treasuries were relatively strong, and the yields of Chinese, Japanese, and German government bonds all increased. Commodity prices were divided, with precious metal prices falling and natural gas and soybean prices rising. The US dollar index declined, but the RMB and the Hong Kong dollar still depreciated against the US dollar. In the domestic stock market, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.1%, the ChiNext Index rose 0.6%, and the STAR 50 Index rose 0.01% [12][13][15] 3.1.2 A - share Market - Index Performance: Most broad - based indices rose this week. The Wind Micro - cap Stock Index (3.4%) and the Wind Dividend Index (2.2%) led the gains, while the CSI 500 underperformed with a 0.04% decline. After the National Day holiday, market volatility increased significantly, and the STAR Market, ChiNext, and micro - cap and dividend stocks often acted as two ends of a seesaw [17][19] - Trading Volume: The average daily trading volume of most broad - based indices decreased, and the trading volume of most indices returned to the level of mid - to early August. Only the micro - cap stock index continued to see an increase in trading volume [22][23] - Industry Performance: The top five sectors in terms of gains were petroleum and petrochemicals (4.3%), power equipment (4.3%), steel (4.2%), basic chemicals (4.1%), and coal (3.55%). The sectors with the largest declines were communication and electronics. Cyclical industries performed well this week, while the tech sector fell again after rising last week [26] 3.1.3 Sino - US Tech Stocks - US tech stocks tumbled after earnings, with the Nasdaq Composite Index falling 3.04% for the whole week. In contrast, domestic tech stocks were relatively resilient, and the STAR 50 Index deviated from US tech stocks in the second half of the week, rising 0.01% for the whole week [28] 3.1.4 Tech Sector Internals - Since October, only a limited number of tech sectors have outperformed the Wind All - A Index. Specifically, controllable nuclear fusion, solid - state batteries, and storage have achieved relatively high excess returns. This week, the tech sector maintained a volatile pattern, with internal rotation mainly around storage, semiconductors, and optical modules. The trading volume of the tech sector reached highs on Monday and Thursday and declined marginally on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Friday [32][37][38] 3.2 Fund Behavior Tracking 3.2.1 Leveraged Funds - Trading Volume Proportion: The proportion of margin trading and short - selling trading volume in A - share trading volume declined from 11.9% to 10.9%, indicating a decrease in leveraged trading activity. As of Thursday this week, the margin trading balance in A - shares was approximately 2.50 trillion yuan, a slight increase, and the proportion of the margin trading balance to the A - share free - float market capitalization was approximately 2.55%, a decrease from last Friday [46] - Inflow Scale and ETF Flow: Except for the ChiNext and the CSI 500, the major broad - based index components had net margin purchases, but the scale was not large. Most major index ETFs had net outflows [54] - Large - Cap Stocks: This week, stocks with a market capitalization of over 500 billion yuan added leverage, while stocks with a market capitalization between 100 billion and 500 billion yuan had positive net margin purchases, but the amplitude decreased. Among stocks with a market capitalization of over 500 billion yuan, the variance of margin trading was large, with most stocks having net margin sales. Cambricon, Hygon Information, and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China contributed the majority of net margin purchases, while stocks represented by Zhongji Innolight and SMIC had net margin sales [56] - Industry - Level Leverage: The top five sectors with the largest proportion of net margin purchases to trading volume were beauty care, real estate, power equipment, steel, and basic chemicals. The banking, non - banking finance, communication, home appliances, and building materials sectors reduced leverage. Leveraged funds gradually shifted to non - popular sectors. After the National Day, the basic chemicals and pharmaceutical biology sectors have added leverage for five consecutive weeks [61] - Popular Stocks: Most popular stocks in the power equipment and electronics sectors added leverage, but the amplitude in the electronics sector was smaller. The average proportion of leveraged funds in the top 35 popular stocks decreased to 0.19% this week [63] 3.2.2 Quantitative Funds - Excess Returns: The excess returns of quantitative index - enhanced funds rebounded. In the last week of October, the excess returns of the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 quantitative index - enhanced funds were - 0.9% and - 1.0% respectively. This week, the excess returns of the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 quantitative index - enhanced funds were 0.1% and - 0.5% respectively, showing an improvement compared to last week [72] - Futures Basis: This week, the basis discounts of the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 stock index futures widened and remained at a relatively high level for three consecutive weeks. The number of contracts for the "current month", "next month", and "current quarter" of the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 stock index futures changed little, but the number of "next quarter" contracts increased significantly [80] 3.2.3 Main Funds - Overall Outflow: This week, the main funds of the CSI 300, ChiNext, and STAR Market had a net outflow, but the scale was smaller than last week. The outflow of the CSI 300 and ChiNext was relatively large on Tuesday and Friday [82] - Industry - Level Flow: The main funds flowed out of the computer, electronics, and pharmaceutical sectors the most, with the computer sector having continuous large - scale net outflows for five days. The main funds flowed into the chemical sector the most, with continuous net inflows from Wednesday to Friday [91] 3.2.4 Northbound Funds - Trading Amount and Proportion: This week, the total trading amount of northbound funds decreased, with the average daily trading amount dropping from 272.9 billion yuan to 243.5 billion yuan. The proportion of northbound funds in A - share trading increased from 11.7% to 12.1% [93] - Performance of Heavy - Positioned Stocks: The heavy - positioned stocks of northbound funds performed well [96]