天融信(002212):2025年三季报点评:业绩短期承压,前沿布局量子科技

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 12.57 CNY [2][8]. Core Views - The company experienced a significant decline in revenue and profit in the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue of 1.202 billion CNY, down 24.01% year-on-year, and a net loss of 235 million CNY compared to a loss of 169 million CNY in the same period last year [2][8]. - Despite the short-term pressure on performance, the company is actively pursuing quality improvement and efficiency enhancement strategies, resulting in a reduction of R&D, sales, and management expenses by 15.05%, 6.48%, and 17.23% respectively [8]. - The company continues to advance its cloud computing strategy, with its intelligent computing cloud products generating 129 million CNY in revenue, accounting for 10.73% of total revenue, and showing a year-on-year increase of 7.59% [8]. - The company is also making strides in quantum technology, having invested in strategic partnerships and applied research outcomes to various security products [8]. Financial Summary - For 2025-2027, the company is projected to achieve revenues of 2.9 billion CNY, 3.089 billion CNY, and 3.295 billion CNY, with growth rates of 2.8%, 6.5%, and 6.7% respectively [4][8]. - The net profit forecast for the same period is 139 million CNY, 226 million CNY, and 285 million CNY, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 67.3%, 62.8%, and 26.2% respectively [4][8]. - The report indicates an expected diluted EPS of 0.12 CNY, 0.19 CNY, and 0.24 CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [4][8].