Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content 2. Core View of the Report - As of October 26, 2025, the model recommends non-bank finance, communication, real estate, building materials, media, and banking, with marginal increases in media and real estate investments [1] - The non-bank finance, communication, and real estate sectors are mainly driven by fundamentals, building materials and media are mainly influenced by sentiment, and banking is driven by both quantitative and fundamental factors [1] - The industry rotation model analyzes the market from three dimensions: fundamentals, volume-price, and sentiment, aiming to capture industry opportunities [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Industry Rotation Model - The model backtests original factors on a bi-weekly basis and expands volume-price factors from dimensions such as momentum and trend, capital flow and sentiment, and market structure and volatility [1] - Six relatively effective factors are selected to construct the industry rotation strategy [1] Industry ETF Portfolio - The current industry ETF portfolio includes six ETFs: E Fund CSI 300 Non-Bank Finance ETF, Guotai CSI All-Index Communication Equipment ETF, Southern CSI All-Index Real Estate ETF, Guotai CSI All-Index Building Materials ETF, GF CSI Media ETF, and Huabao CSI Bank ETF [3] Performance of the Industry Rotation Strategy - In the past two weeks, the strategy rose 0.25%, with an excess return of 0.64% compared to the industry equal-weighted index [4][6] - Since the beginning of the year, the strategy has risen 34.89%, with a Sharpe ratio of 1.77 and a Calmar ratio of 2.88 in the past year [4] Strategy/Composite Factor Backtesting Results - Different factors have different IC means, IC standard deviations, ICIRs, frequencies of IC>0, and p-Values. For example, the成交均价因子 has an IC mean of 6.19%, an IC standard deviation of 27.11%, and an ICIR of 22.83% [10]
行业轮动双周度跟踪:边际增持TMT-20251109
SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-11-09 14:27