海安集团(001233):注册制新股纵览:全钢巨胎国内领军者,掘金三巨头退俄机遇
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-11-09 15:07

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Neutral" to Hai'an Group, with an AHP score of 2.18, placing it in the 29.6% percentile of the non-innovative system AHP model [9][10]. Core Insights - Hai'an Group is a leading domestic manufacturer of all-steel giant tires, ranking fourth globally with a market share of 6.5% and first in China with a market share of 52.4% [4][11]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the exit of three major international competitors from the Russian market, aiming to capture new growth opportunities along the Belt and Road Initiative [4][19]. - The global market for all-steel giant tires is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with a projected increase in demand due to the expansion of Chinese mining companies overseas [22]. Summary by Sections AHP Score and Expected Allocation Ratio - Hai'an Group's AHP score, adjusted for liquidity premium factors, is 2.18, indicating a mid-to-upper tier performance in the AHP model [9][10]. Company Fundamentals and Highlights - Hai'an Group has developed a full range of all-steel giant tires and has established partnerships with major mining companies, enhancing its market position [4][11]. - The company has expanded its global footprint by establishing 12 overseas subsidiaries, particularly in emerging markets [19]. - The exit of major brands from the Russian market has led to a significant increase in Hai'an's overseas revenue, which grew by 77% from 2022 to 2023 [19]. Comparable Company Financial Metrics - Hai'an Group's revenue and net profit for 2022-2024 show a compound annual growth rate of 23.48% and 38.46%, respectively [24]. - The company's reliance on Russian revenue is significant, with nearly 40% of its overseas income coming from this market [23][25]. - The average P/E ratio of comparable companies is 16.32X, while Hai'an Group's industry P/E is 26.35X, indicating a premium valuation [23]. Investment Projects and Development Vision - The company plans to raise approximately 2.95 billion yuan for expansion projects, including the production of all-steel giant tires and automation upgrades [39][41]. - The expansion project aims to add over 22,000 units of production capacity, addressing the growing demand from clients [40].