Changjiang Securities·2025-11-09 23:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Insights - The company is consolidating and expanding its advantages in the full industry chain of rail transit communication signal engineering design, train control system equipment, and engineering technical services. It is also cultivating the low-altitude airspace management industry, drone manufacturing, and service operations, accelerating the construction of a "three industries and one system" industrial pattern in the low-altitude economy. The focus is on both rail transit and low-altitude economy, with sufficient orders on hand ensuring future delivery and growth in the rail transformation market [2][11]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 21.748 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.48%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.284 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.16%. In Q3 2025, the operating revenue was 7.083 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.91%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 664 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.63% [6][11]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue breakdown for the first three quarters of 2025 shows: - Railway sector: 12.604 billion yuan, up 4.78% year-on-year - Urban rail sector: 5.781 billion yuan, up 14.46% year-on-year - Overseas sector: 1.382 billion yuan, down 21.90% year-on-year - Engineering general contracting and other sectors: 1.980 billion yuan, up 0.8% year-on-year [11]. Order Status - As of Q3 2025, the company has sufficient orders on hand, with inventory at 4.114 billion yuan, up 8.3% year-on-year and 7.4% quarter-on-quarter. Contract liabilities remain above 10 billion yuan, indicating strong support for future deliveries [11]. Market Opportunities - The rail transformation market is expected to drive order growth and subsequent development. New high-speed rail transformation projects and urban rail projects are being awarded, with Q3 orders in the railway sector exceeding 6 billion yuan, up 29% year-on-year [11]. Low-altitude Economy - The low-altitude economy sector continues to make breakthroughs, with new contracts signed amounting to 0.53 billion yuan in the first three quarters. Projects include low-altitude tourism service centers and drone inspection services, indicating potential for this sector to become a second growth driver for the company [11]. Future Profit Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 3.704 billion yuan and 4.187 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to price-earnings ratios of 15.4 and 13.6 times [11].