西南枯水期减产，工业硅企稳回升

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. Group 2: Core Views of the Report - Last week, industrial silicon prices stabilized and rebounded due to reduced production during the dry season in Southwest China, a new balance cycle in the photovoltaic industry chain, and the gradual recovery of traditional industries. The supply side has entered a marginal contraction, while the demand side shows different trends in various segments. The new platform for polysilicon capacity clearance continues to boost market sentiment, and the 14th Five - Year Plan emphasizes the development of a new energy system. The social inventory of industrial silicon decreased to 552,000 tons, and the spot market remained stable. Technically, the futures price is expected to maintain a stable and positive trend in the short term [2][5][9]. Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Market Data - The industrial silicon futures price decreased by 2.28% from October 31st to November 7th, while the prices of various spot grades remained unchanged except for organic silicon DMC, which increased by 1.36%. The industrial silicon social inventory decreased by 1.08% to 552,000 tons [3]. 2. Market Analysis and Outlook - Macro: In September, China's industrial enterprise profits increased significantly, with high - tech manufacturing playing a leading role. From January to September, the profits of high - tech manufacturing increased by 8.7% year - on - year, accelerating by 2.7 percentage points compared to January - August [6]. - Supply and Demand: By November 6th, the weekly output of industrial silicon was 90,900 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 7.8% and a year - on - year increase of 1.2%. The number of open furnaces in the three major production areas decreased to 273, with the overall furnace opening rate rising to 34.3%. On the demand side, the polysilicon market is cautious, silicon wafer prices may lose support, battery cell prices are close to cash costs, and component inventory is expected to drop to 31GW [7]. - Inventory: As of November 7th, the national social inventory of industrial silicon decreased to 552,000 tons, and the exchange registered warehouse receipts decreased to 231,000 tons. The 5 - series warehouse receipts are actively registering [8]. 3. Industry News - On October 31st, Inner Mongolia released a plan for a clean energy base project in the Kubuqi Desert with a total installed capacity of 6 million kilowatts [10]. - Nantong Crystal Co., Ltd. received an investment of 100 million yuan from Guotou Jixin, a subsidiary of the third phase of the National Big Fund, and its registered capital increased from 300 million yuan to 400 million yuan [11]. 4. Related Charts - The report provides charts on industrial silicon production, exports, social inventory, exchange warehouse receipts, and the production of related products such as organic silicon DMC and polysilicon [17][18].