冠通期货资讯早间报-20251110

Overnight Night Market Trends - International precious metal futures generally closed higher, with COMEX gold futures rising 0.42% to $4007.8 per ounce and COMEX silver futures rising 0.57% to $48.225 per ounce [5] - The main contract of US crude oil closed up 0.69% at $59.84 per barrel, down 1.87% for the week; the main contract of Brent crude oil rose 0.47% to $63.68 per barrel, down 1.68% for the week [6] - Most London base metals rose, with LME zinc up 0.69%, LME lead up 0.66%, LME aluminum up 0.54%, LME copper up 0.12%, LME nickel up 0.01%, and LME tin down 0.08% [6] - As of the close at 23:00 on November 7, domestic futures main contracts showed mixed results, with liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) and pulp rising nearly 1%, and coking coal falling nearly 2%, asphalt, coke, rapeseed meal, and glass falling more than 1% [7] Important Information Macroeconomic Information - The Ministry of Finance will implement a more proactive fiscal policy, continue to boost consumption, and encourage private investment [10] - As of November 7, the Shanghai Export Containerized Freight Index fell 55.6 points from the previous period, while the China Export Containerized Freight Index rose 3.6% [10] - The Dutch government welcomes China's statement on resuming supplies to Nexperia's Chinese factories, and believes that Chinese - supplied chips will reach customers soon [10] - In the first 10 months of this year, China's goods trade imports and exports increased steadily, with a total value of 37.31 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.6% [11] - The US Bureau of Labor Statistics failed to release the October non - farm payrolls report due to the government shutdown [12] - The US Senate failed to pass a motion to advance the Specific Federal Employees Appropriations Act, and the government shutdown is difficult to lift [14] - The second paragraph of the Ministry of Commerce's Announcement No. 46 of 2024 is suspended from implementation until November 27, 2026 [15] - China's CPI turned from a 0.3% decline last month to a 0.2% increase, and PPI rose 0.1% month - on - month for the first time this year [15] - The source of the current global semiconductor supply chain chaos lies with the Dutch side, and China hopes the EU will urge the Dutch to revoke relevant measures [15] Energy and Chemical Futures - China's Customs总署 will resume importing US logs starting from November 10, 2025 [17] - In October, China's crude oil imports were 4835.7 million tons, and the cumulative imports from January to October increased by 3.1% year - on - year; refined oil imports decreased by 16.3% year - on - year; natural gas imports decreased by 6.2% year - on - year; refined oil exports decreased by 3.3% year - on - year [17] - Russia's crude oil production in October rebounded slightly but was still below its OPEC+ quota [18][19] - As of November 6, the methanol inventory at East China ports was 78.80 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 0.62 million tons [20] Metal Futures - The CSRC approved the registration of platinum, palladium futures and options at the Guangzhou Futures Exchange [22] - The Fed's Williams said the Fed may need to expand its balance sheet through bond purchases soon [22] - China's gold reserves at the end of October were 7409 million ounces, a month - on - month increase of 30,000 ounces, marking the 12th consecutive month of increase [22] - India's gold ETFs are seeing record capital inflows, with purchases this year approaching $3 billion [23] - In October 2025, Indonesia's ferronickel metal production increased by 22.52% month - on - month and 14.38% year - on - year [23] - The global platinum market is entering a period of continuous shortage [25] Black - Series Futures - The National Energy Administration issued guidelines for the integrated development of coal and new energy [27] - The inventory of imported iron ore at 45 ports in China increased by 356.35 million tons month - on - month, and the inventory at 47 ports increased by 351.20 million tons month - on - month [27] - The blast furnace operating rate of 247 steel mills increased by 1.38 percentage points week - on - week, while the ironmaking capacity utilization rate decreased by 0.80 percentage points week - on - week [28] - The total urban inventory of steel decreased by 3.09 million tons week - on - week [29] Agricultural Product Futures - China will resume the soybean import qualifications of three US companies starting from November 10, 2025 [32] - The FAO Food Price Index in October decreased by 2.1 points (1.6%) from September [32] - As of the week of November 7, the self - breeding and self - raising pig farming profit was a loss of 89.21 yuan per head, and the profit from purchasing piglets for breeding was a loss of 175.54 yuan per head [32] Financial Markets Finance - Last week, 418 listed companies disclosed institutional investor research records, with some companies receiving over 100 institutional visits [34] - The rise of TMT, non - ferrous metals, chemicals, and new energy sectors is affected by AI narratives, and the proportion of these sectors in institutional holdings exceeds 60% [34] - Last week, the three major A - share stock indexes showed a weak and volatile trend, but A - shares may still have resilience, and institutions suggest certain sectors for future allocation [36] - In November, the A - share market volatility increased, but corporate earnings are in a recovery stage [37] - Some fund managers increased their positions in Hong Kong stocks in the third quarter, especially in AI applications and innovative drugs [37] - Since 2025, 18 public funds REITs have been listed, with consumer infrastructure REITs performing well [37] Industry - The 2025 World Internet Conference Wuzhen Summit closed, with many new technologies on display [38] - Beijing plans to build a national data element comprehensive experimental area [38] - US physicists observed key evidence of unconventional superconductivity in "magic - angle" twisted trilayer graphene [40] - Changqing Oilfield's shale oil production exceeded 20 million tons, marking a new stage in China's onshore shale oil development [40] - The "Remote Sensing Satellite Multispectral Monitoring Dataset" completed data asset registration [40] Overseas - The US federal government shutdown has lasted for 40 days, and a potential agreement to end it is being reached [41] - Argentina plans to repurchase sovereign bonds and accumulate foreign exchange reserves [41] - South Korea plans to reduce the maximum dividend income tax rate from 35% to 25% [41] International Stock Markets - South Korea's stock market suffered the largest single - week sell - off by foreign investors in November [43] - US investors are increasingly buying Japanese technology and AI stocks [44] Bonds - As of November 9, the scale of various bonds issued by commercial banks this year has reached 2.88 trillion yuan [45] - Affected by market and policy factors, the bond market scale has shrunk, and the structure has changed significantly [45] Upcoming Events - At 7:50, Japan will release its October foreign exchange reserves [47] - At 13:00, Japan will release its preliminary September coincident and leading indicators [47] - At 17:30, the eurozone will release its November Sentix investor confidence index [47] - At 21:00, Canada will release its national economic confidence index as of November 7 [47] - The US will release its October Conference Board Employment Trends Index (to be determined) [47] - At 7:30, the Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia will give a speech [49] - At 7:50, the Bank of Japan will release the summary of opinions of its Monetary Policy Meeting in October [49] - At 9:20, 78.3 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchases of the People's Bank of China will expire [49] - At 15:00, the State Council will hold a regular policy briefing [49] - At 17:10, the Deputy Governor of the Bank of England will give a speech [49] - The domestic refined oil will open a new price adjustment window (to be determined) [49] - The King of Spain will conduct a state visit to China from November 10 to 13 (to be determined) [49] - The Bank of Japan's board member Nakagawa will give a speech (to be determined) [49]