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转债周度专题:下修空间继续缩窄-20251110
Tianfeng Securities·2025-11-10 06:12

Group 1 - The willingness to adjust convertible bonds is decreasing, with only 10% of proposed adjustments in October compared to 21% in September, indicating a shrinking adjustment space [1][13][19] - The proportion of convertible bonds with a price in the (0,80] range has decreased from 40.7% at the beginning of the year to 20.0%, reflecting a continuous reduction in potential adjustment space [1][19] - The market is seeing a shift from adjustment strategies to focusing on the underlying stocks, with an emphasis on opportunities related to undervalued stocks in the context of optimistic market expectations [2][22] Group 2 - The convertible bond market has shown positive performance, with the China Securities Convertible Bond Index rising by 0.86% this week, alongside an increase in average daily trading volume to 685.26 billion [3][31] - A total of 17 industries saw gains, with the retail, coal, and steel sectors leading the market, while the computer, media, and electronics sectors experienced declines [3][30][38] - The weighted average conversion value of the market has increased to 104.67 yuan, with a corresponding decrease in the premium rate to 37.68% [4][48] Group 3 - The supply of convertible bonds is tightening, with two new bonds issued this week and several announcements regarding potential adjustments and redemptions [5][24] - The market is advised to focus on convertible bonds nearing their adjustment periods, considering factors such as remaining term and financial pressure to identify potential adjustment candidates [1][19][24] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring structural opportunities in sectors like technology, consumer goods, and cyclical industries, particularly in the context of economic recovery [2][22][24]