Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the gold, copper, aluminum, tin, and antimony industries, indicating a positive outlook for these sectors [12][13]. Core Views - The report highlights a strengthening in aluminum prices, driven by favorable macroeconomic signals and supply disruptions, suggesting a potential valuation recovery for aluminum companies [1][12]. - The macroeconomic environment is seen as supportive for copper and aluminum prices, with expectations of price increases due to positive signals from U.S.-China trade negotiations [12][6]. - The report emphasizes that gold prices are likely to maintain an upward trend as the Federal Reserve enters a rate-cutting cycle [12][5]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector (Shenwan) showed a weekly increase of 0.64%, with aluminum leading among sub-sectors with a 3.84% rise [22][18]. Macroeconomic and Industry News - China's October imports grew by 1% year-on-year, while exports fell by 1.1% [28]. - The U.S. ISM manufacturing index for October was reported at 48.7, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity [28]. Precious Metals Market Data - The report notes that gold prices are supported by a high probability of further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with gold trading at $3994.10 per ounce [4][5]. Industrial Metals Data - Copper prices are under pressure, with LME copper closing at $10,744 per ton, down 1.57% from the previous week [6]. - Aluminum prices in China are reported at 21,580 yuan per ton, reflecting a slight increase [8]. Industry Ratings and Investment Strategies - The report recommends specific stocks within the gold, copper, aluminum, tin, and antimony sectors, highlighting companies such as Zijin Mining and China Aluminum as key investment opportunities [12][13]. Key Recommended Stocks - For the gold sector, recommended stocks include Zhongjin Gold and Shandong Gold. In the copper sector, Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum are highlighted. For aluminum, companies like Shenhuo Co. and Yunnan Aluminum are recommended [13][15].
有色金属行业周报:铝价逐步走强,看好铝企估值修复-20251110