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可转债周报:稳健上扬中,双低转债继续领跑-20251110
Dong Fang Jin Cheng·2025-11-10 07:32

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - Last week, the convertible bond market followed the equity market with continued volatile upward movement, and the valuation slightly decreased. The Wind Convertible Bond Weighted Index outperformed the Wind All A by 0.27 pcts. The Wind Convertible Bond Double - Low Index led the sub - indices with a 1.43% increase. The Convertible Bond ETF had a net redemption of 10.02 billion yuan. - In the short term, the convertible bond market will follow the equity market with a structural theme - based market due to the US government shutdown and year - end profit - taking sentiment. However, the supply - demand imbalance in the convertible bond market will support the valuation, and the double - low and dumbbell strategies are advantageous. Defensive positions can be in the large - financial and coal sectors, while offensive positions can be in new energy and low - valuation technology convertible bonds. - In the primary market, Qizhong Convertible Bond and Zhuomei Convertible Bond were issued, Jinlang Convertible Bond 02 was listed, and several bonds were redeemed early or expired and delisted. As of last Friday, the convertible bond market's outstanding scale was 576.651 billion yuan, a decrease of 157.242 billion yuan from the beginning of the year. Five bonds were approved by the CSRC to be issued, totaling 4.2 billion yuan, and seven bonds passed the issuance review committee, totaling 6.286 billion yuan [1]. 3. Summary by Directory Policy Tracking - On November 4, five departments including the National Health Commission issued the "Implementation Opinions on Promoting and Regulating the Application and Development of 'Artificial Intelligence + Healthcare'". By 2027, key applications of AI in healthcare will be widely used, and high - value application scenarios will be created to drive the high - quality development of the health industry [2][4]. Secondary Market - Equity Market: Last week, major equity market indices fluctuated strongly. Overseas, the US government shutdown affected market risk appetite. Domestically, CPI and PPI data sent positive signals, and the market focused on performance and anti - involution policies. High - position sectors retreated, and dividend assets strengthened, with coal, chemical, and banking sectors leading the gains [3]. - Convertible Bond Market: - The convertible bond market indices followed the equity market and rose. The average daily trading volume was 69.904 billion yuan, an increase of 3.231 billion yuan from the previous week. The Convertible Bond ETF had a net redemption of 10.02 billion yuan [6]. - Structurally, the large - cap style in the convertible bond market strengthened, and the double - low convertible bonds performed well. The high - price and small - cap indices underperformed. In terms of historical quantiles, the conversion value quantile decreased, while the convertible bond price quantile increased, driving up the conversion premium rate. The trading activity declined [7]. - By industry, most convertible bonds in various industries rose. Steel industry convertible bonds led with an average increase of over 2%, while computer and automobile industry convertible bonds declined. The overall valuation of convertible bonds slightly increased, and the valuation quantiles of different industries changed differently [8]. - In terms of individual bonds, most convertible bonds rose. Bonds in the power grid and solid - state battery sectors led the gains, while some bonds with poor performance in the third quarter declined significantly [10]. - In terms of price and valuation, the arithmetic average and median of convertible bond prices changed slightly. The arithmetic average and median of the conversion premium rate and pure - bond premium rate decreased [20]. Primary Market - New Issues and Listings: Qizhong Convertible Bond and Zhuomei Convertible Bond were issued, and Jinlang Convertible Bond 02 was listed with strong performance. Several bonds were redeemed early or expired and delisted. As of November 7, the convertible bond market's outstanding scale was 576.651 billion yuan, a decrease of 157.242 billion yuan from the beginning of the year and 4.623 billion yuan from the previous week [28]. - Conversion and Redemption: Eight convertible bonds had a conversion ratio of over 5%, one more than the previous week. Several bonds announced early redemption, and some bonds triggered conversion due to negative conversion premium rates [30]. - Issuance Progress: Shangtai Technology and Jinpan Technology's convertible bond issuance plans passed the exchange review. As of last Friday, five bonds were approved by the CSRC to be issued, totaling 4.2 billion yuan, and seven bonds passed the issuance review committee, totaling 6.286 billion yuan [33][34]. - Clause Tracking: No convertible bond announced a downward revision of the conversion price, and one bond announced early redemption. Several bonds proposed or were about to trigger a downward revision of the conversion price, and many bonds were expected to trigger early redemption conditions [34].