原纸提价持续加码，造纸成本稳步缓解

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic [1] Core Insights - The continuous price increase of raw paper is alleviating the cost pressure in the paper industry, with packaging paper prices rising significantly due to a smooth transmission across the entire industry chain [3][24] - The supply-demand situation for pulp is improving, leading to a gradual reduction in cost pressures, with domestic pulp prices stabilizing [3][24] - The industry is undergoing a transformation towards green and intelligent production, with significant projects being signed to enhance capacity and sustainability [3][21][23] - The paper industry is in a recovery phase, with demand rebounding and supply pressures easing, indicating a potential for price increases and improved profitability [3][24] Summary by Sections Industry News - The China Packaging Federation's Paper Committee has called for the industry to resist "involution-style" competition to promote healthy and orderly development [4] Industry Performance Data - From January to September 2025, the paper and paper products industry reported revenues of 1,037.57 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.1%, with total profits down 15.6% [5] - Recent price adjustments by major companies like Shanying Paper have led to price increases of 30-100 yuan/ton across various bases [5][6] Company Developments - China Haicheng signed contracts for significant projects, including a 2 million ton green packaging material project, indicating a shift towards sustainable practices [21] - Yibin Paper's bamboo pulp molding project has commenced, marking a step towards green manufacturing [23] - Shanying Huazhong Paper is planning a major chemical pulp project with an annual capacity of 706,000 tons, reflecting ongoing industry upgrades [23] Investment Strategy - The paper industry is at a cyclical bottom, showing signs of gradual recovery, with price increases expected in packaging paper due to strong demand and cost alleviation [24] - Focus on leading companies in the packaging paper sector that have strong market positions and can benefit from price increases [24]