Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The construction and decoration sector outperformed the index, supported by both supply-demand dynamics and policy initiatives. The central bank injected a net of 812.8 billion yuan through reverse repos, and liquidity conditions improved with most funding rates declining [4][7] - The construction industry continues to show structural differentiation, with infrastructure investment improving seasonally under the support of policy financial tools. New infrastructure and renewable energy sectors are performing well, while the real estate market remains in a bottoming phase [5][6] - The fiscal policy for 2026 is expected to remain proactive, with significant issuance of special bonds to support major projects, enhancing funding security for project implementation [4][5] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The construction industry is experiencing a structural differentiation, with infrastructure investment showing seasonal improvement due to policy support. New infrastructure and renewable energy sectors are highlighted as bright spots, while the real estate market is still in a bottoming phase [5][6] - The construction site funding availability is weaker year-on-year, but there is an increase in major project initiations across various regions, indicating a potential marginal improvement in demand [5][6] Investment Recommendations - Focus on low-valuation, high-dividend stocks in a low-interest-rate environment, particularly those with strong performance and stable cash flow [6] - Pay attention to key projects supported by the government and companies with clear transformation directions and growth potential [6] Weekly Market Review - During the week of January 12-18, 2026, the construction and decoration sector rose by 0.27%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 300 Index [8] - The sector saw a mix of project launches and collaborations, with significant progress in various infrastructure projects [8][9] Industry Valuation - As of January 16, 2026, the construction and decoration industry has a PE (TTM) of 13.58 times, ranking 29th out of 31 industries, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to other sectors [14] - The PB (LF) stands at 0.84 times, also ranking 29th out of 31, suggesting that the industry is undervalued [14] Industry Data Tracking - The construction PMI for December 2025 was 52.80%, indicating a slight increase in industry sentiment, with new orders showing signs of recovery [28] - The cement dispatch rate remained stable, while the price of ordinary bulk cement decreased slightly, reflecting a weak supply-demand balance in the market [33][37]

证券研究报告——建筑装饰行业周报 板块跑赢指数，供需与政策双维发力 【2026.1.12-2026.1.18】 行业评级：看好 发布日期：2026.1.20 建筑装饰行情走势图 数据来源：Wind 大同证券 分析师：张坤飞 执业证书编号：S0770524020001 邮箱：zhangkf@dtsbc.com.cn 地址：山西太原长治路 111 号山 西世贸中心 A 座 F12、F13 网址:http://www.dtsbc.com.cn 风险提示 基建、地产等投资不及预期；宏观流动性收紧风险；地方融资 平台违约风险；关税影响增强的风险。 核心观点 权益市场涨跌互现，建筑装饰跑赢指数，央行通过逆回购净投 放 8128 亿元，重启 14 天逆回购呵护流动性，资金利率多数下 行，同业存单净融资为负且各期限利率分化，10 年期国债等 利率债收益率小幅下行。外汇市场上，美元指数受避险需求支 撑连升三周，人民币依托出口数据向好与结汇力量保持韧性。 股票市场多数指数上涨，科创 50 指数领涨 4.05%，计算机等 行业表现突出，国防军工等行业跌幅靠前。商品市场中黄金受 地缘风险支撑价格上涨。宏观层面，2025 年 12 月 ...

证券研究报告——建筑装饰行业周报 板块跑赢指数，供需与政策双维发力 【2026.1.12-2026.1.18】 行业评级：看好 发布日期：2026.1.20 建筑装饰行情走势图 数据来源：Wind 大同证券 分析师：张坤飞 执业证书编号：S0770524020001 邮箱：zhangkf@dtsbc.com.cn 地址：山西太原长治路 111 号山 西世贸中心 A 座 F12、F13 网址:http://www.dtsbc.com.cn 风险提示 基建、地产等投资不及预期；宏观流动性收紧风险；地方融资 平台违约风险；关税影响增强的风险。 核心观点 权益市场涨跌互现，建筑装饰跑赢指数，央行通过逆回购净投 放 8128 亿元，重启 14 天逆回购呵护流动性，资金利率多数下 行，同业存单净融资为负且各期限利率分化，10 年期国债等 利率债收益率小幅下行。外汇市场上，美元指数受避险需求支 撑连升三周，人民币依托出口数据向好与结汇力量保持韧性。 股票市场多数指数上涨，科创 50 指数领涨 4.05%，计算机等 行业表现突出，国防军工等行业跌幅靠前。商品市场中黄金受 地缘风险支撑价格上涨。宏观层面，2025 年 12 月 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is optimistic [1] Core Viewpoints - The construction industry is experiencing a simultaneous contraction in total volume and structural differentiation, with infrastructure investment showing localized resilience under policy support, while the real estate market continues to drag down construction business [6] - The issuance of special bonds is expected to reach 4.5-5 trillion yuan, providing ample funding for major projects [5][6] - The demand in real estate and infrastructure is still at a bottoming stage, with significant projects being launched to expand domestic demand, particularly in water conservancy, new infrastructure, overseas business, and the western region [6] - The upstream building materials market is showing mixed performance, with cement supply and demand weak and prices declining, while rebar production is increasing but prices remain low [6][29] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The construction industry is facing a dual challenge of total contraction and structural differentiation, with infrastructure investment showing some resilience due to policy support [6] - The real estate market continues to struggle, impacting the construction business negatively [6] Market Performance - In the week of January 5-11, 2026, the construction decoration sector outperformed major indices, with a weekly increase of 5.72% [9] - The A-share market saw significant trading volume, with a total of 14.26 trillion yuan [5] Investment Recommendations - Focus on low-valuation, high-dividend stocks in a context of loose liquidity and low interest rates, particularly those with strong performance and stable cash flow [7] - Pay attention to key projects supported by the state and companies with clear transformation directions and growth potential [7] Financial Data - As of January 9, 2026, the construction decoration industry's PE (TTM) is 13.54 times, ranking 30 out of 31 industries, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to other sectors [10] - The PB (LF) is 0.84 times, also ranking 30 out of 31, suggesting a low position in terms of valuation [10] High-frequency Data - Cement shipment rates are seasonally declining, with prices for both bagged and bulk cement decreasing [29] - Rebar production is up, but prices are down, indicating a challenging market environment [29] Key Events - Major projects and policies are being implemented, such as the launch of 28 major transportation projects in Henan with a total investment of 800 billion yuan [9] - The construction of key infrastructure projects is being prioritized to enhance regional development [9]

Market Review - The equity market saw most major indices decline, with the North Certificate 50 experiencing the largest drop of 1.55%. The majority of industry indices underperformed compared to the Wind All A Index [5][6] - In the bond market, both short and long-term interest rates rose, with the 10-year government bond yield increasing by 0.97 basis points to 1.847% [9][10] - The commodity market also faced declines, with the South China Commodity Index down by 0.71% and COMEX gold dropping by 4.63% [13][14] Equity Product Allocation Strategy - Event-driven strategies include focusing on the upcoming CES 2026, with recommended funds such as Jiashi Technology Innovation (007343), Jiaoyin Technology Innovation A (519767), and Huaxia Innovation Frontier A (002980) [15][16] - The 2026 consumption upgrade policy suggests attention to funds like Jiashi New Consumption A (001044), ICBC New Generation Consumption (005526), and Huaxia Consumption Selection A (017719) [17] - With spot gold falling below $4500, funds such as Huazhong Gold ETF Link A (000216), Jiashi Shanghai Gold ETF Link A (016581), and Qianhai Kaiyuan Gold and Silver Jewelry A (001302) are recommended [18] Asset Allocation Strategy - The overall strategy emphasizes a balanced core with a barbell approach, focusing on dividend and technology stocks along with high-end manufacturing [19][20] - Recommended funds include Anxin Dividend Select A (018381), Huaxia Smart Pioneer (501219), and Boshi Military Industry Theme A (004698) [24] Stable Product Allocation Strategy - Key market analyses include the central bank's net injection of 737.4 billion yuan and the PMI returning to the expansion zone at 50.1% [26] - Recommended products for stable allocation include Nord Short Bond A (005350) and Guotai Lianan Medium and Short Bond A (016947) [27]

Group 1 - The overall performance of major assets shows that the equity, bond, and commodity markets are stabilizing with narrow fluctuations [2][9] - The A-share market is experiencing a high-level narrow fluctuation, with the Shanghai Composite Index maintaining a continuous upward trend, although affected by pre-holiday risk aversion [3][11] - The domestic macroeconomic data continues to improve, with PMI rising and remaining in the expansion zone, while the RMB continues to appreciate against the USD, providing support for the market [3][12] Group 2 - The bond market is expected to remain in a state of fluctuation, with liquidity easing providing a support base while upward movement is capped by the equity market [6][36] - The bond market configuration suggests that it may continue to experience a period of oscillation, with short-term bonds likely to perform better due to their flexibility [6][36] Group 3 - The commodity market is stabilizing after a slight decline, with precious metals like gold and silver experiencing adjustments after significant gains [7][44] - The outlook for precious metals remains positive in the medium to long term, with expectations of upward movement due to ongoing geopolitical conflicts and a declining status of the US dollar [7][44] - The recommendation for commodity allocation suggests maintaining positions in gold [7][47] Group 4 - The report suggests an "barbell strategy" for A-share allocation, focusing on offensive sectors like telecommunications and commercial aviation while retaining cash for potential post-holiday volatility [5][13] - The focus on technology innovation sectors is emphasized as a key driver for market performance in the medium to long term, particularly in the context of national competition and industrial transformation [11][13]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" (maintained) [3] Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing structural prosperity, with strong demand for mature processes and specialty technologies. Domestic wafer manufacturing leaders, represented by SMIC, are operating at full capacity and have implemented price increases, indicating robust performance in a tight supply-demand environment [3][34] - The demand for AI computing continues to drive upgrades in high-end storage, with HBM prices rising and major players competing for next-generation technologies, highlighting a high prosperity trend in advanced storage and packaging testing [4][36] - The overall focus should be on domestic wafer manufacturing leaders and their upstream and downstream supply chains, as well as the AI-driven high-end hardware industry chain, which are currently key areas of interest [4][36] Industry Data Tracking Semiconductor Industry - In October 2025, global semiconductor sales reached $72.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 27.2%, while China's semiconductor sales were $19.5 billion, up 18.5% year-on-year, indicating sustained strong demand in the semiconductor sector [24][29] - The domestic semiconductor equipment demand remains strong as the push for domestic substitution continues [24] Storage Chip Industry - Recent trends show a strong upward movement in DRAM prices, reflecting robust demand for high-performance memory from AI servers and next-generation PCs. NAND Flash prices are stable, with a gradual increase, while the overall storage chip industry is entering a new prosperity cycle [29][33] Consumer Electronics - The smartphone market is increasingly reliant on technological innovation and stimulus policies, with a significant increase in smartphone shipments in October 2025, driven by promotional events and new product launches [18][19]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the supply contraction at the end of the year, combined with a recovery in demand, is gradually confirming the price bottom range [1] - The report highlights that the thermal coal price continues to decline but at a reduced rate, with pessimistic sentiment gradually being released. After the New Year, low temperatures in the central and eastern regions are expected to boost heating demand, alongside supply contraction and policy support expectations, leading to a potential stabilization of coal prices [8][9] - Coking coal prices are stable with support, despite weak short-term demand. The report anticipates a narrow fluctuation in prices, supported by low inventory levels and supply contraction, with winter storage replenishment expected to start after the New Year [21][22] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The A-share market showed a significant increase with an average daily trading volume of 1.95 trillion yuan, indicating a clear recovery in market sentiment. The coal sector underperformed compared to the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 300 [4][6][36] - The coal sector's weekly performance showed a decline of 0.68%, closing at 2772.29 points, with notable fluctuations among individual coal companies [4][6] Thermal Coal - The report notes a continued decline in thermal coal prices, with the Qinhuangdao port price for Q5500 thermal coal reported at 672 yuan/ton, down 31 yuan/ton week-on-week. The supply side is tightening due to safety inspections and production limits, while demand is showing marginal improvement [8][9][10] - The report indicates that the utilization rate of sample thermal coal mines has dropped to 86.4%, a decrease of 4.0 percentage points week-on-week [8] Coking Coal - Coking coal prices have remained stable, with premium coal types showing notable price increases. The report anticipates that despite weak short-term demand, the combination of low inventory levels and supply contraction will support prices [21][22] - The average price for main coking coal at the port is reported at 1740 yuan/ton, reflecting a recovery trend [23] Shipping Situation - The number of anchored vessels in the Bohai Rim increased, with an average of 67 vessels per day, indicating a rise in shipping activity. Shipping prices showed differentiated changes across routes [30][31] Industry News - Significant breakthroughs in coal exploration in Shandong province were reported, with over 10 billion tons of coal discovered. This is part of a broader initiative to enhance geological technology and promote high-quality development in the coal sector [33] - The report also highlights the upcoming national coal production and transportation coordination conference aimed at improving efficiency in coal supply chains [33]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the equity market has shown strong performance with multiple hotspots driving the market upward, as evidenced by the Shanghai Composite Index achieving an eight-day winning streak, which has boosted investor confidence and mitigated pre-holiday risk aversion [2][3][8] - The report highlights that the market's trading volume has slightly increased, approaching 2 trillion, reflecting optimistic expectations for the post-holiday market [2][8] - The appreciation of the RMB against the USD has enhanced the domestic market's attractiveness to foreign capital, while macro policy has more operational space, contributing to positive news across various sectors such as commercial aviation, 6G, small metals, and batteries [2][8] Group 2 - The report emphasizes that the A-share market's performance is critical post-holiday, with the current market showing signs of recovery, although trading volume remains below August highs, and some funds are still in a wait-and-see mode [3][10] - It suggests that the market's ability to break through previous highs after the New Year will be a key focus, with ongoing policy support expected to favor the equity market [10][12] - The report recommends a "barbell strategy" for A-share allocation, suggesting that investors should follow hot sectors like telecommunications, batteries, and commercial aviation while maintaining some cash reserves to wait for post-holiday trends [13] Group 3 - The bond market has shown a rare independent upward trend, with expectations of continued volatility, as the report notes that the bond market is in a phase of downward support but upward resistance [4][38] - It indicates that without significant positive news, the bond market is likely to remain in a range-bound state for the foreseeable future [5][38] Group 4 - The commodity market has experienced an upward trend, particularly in precious metals, with silver prices reaching new highs and gold prices also increasing, which is expected to continue in the medium to long term due to the decoupling from the USD [46][47] - The report suggests maintaining positions in gold as it is anticipated to lead the commodity market's strength [47]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is optimistic [1] Core Views - Since 2025, the economy has shown signs of weak recovery, with infrastructure maintaining strong resilience and real estate focusing on stability. The issuance of special bonds has exceeded the annual plan by 104.36%, indicating effective investment expansion [6][24] - The central economic work conference has set a tone for proactive fiscal and loose monetary policies, which, along with the support of ultra-long-term special bonds, is expected to accelerate the pace of key project implementation, aiding the stabilization and recovery of demand in real estate and infrastructure [6][24] - New housing transaction area and second-hand housing transaction volume have increased month-on-month, signaling a potential bottoming out in the real estate market, although pressures remain [6][34] Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - The construction decoration sector outperformed the CSI 300 index, with a weekly decline of 0.10% compared to a 0.28% drop in the CSI 300 [8][9] - Among the sub-sectors, professional engineering rose by 1.08%, while housing construction II increased by 0.59% [9] Industry Valuation - As of December 21, the construction decoration industry's PE (TTM) is 12.50 times, ranking in the 74.77% percentile over the past 10 years, but still low compared to other industries, ranking 30 out of 31 [18] - The PB (LF) is 0.78 times, also in a low position, ranking 30 out of 31 [18] Industry Data Tracking 1) Bond Issuance Data - The issuance of urban investment bonds decreased, with a net financing amount of -177.48 billion yuan, indicating a net withdrawal of funds [22][24] - New special bonds have seen high issuance heat, with a total of 45,916.68 billion yuan issued this year, surpassing the planned issuance [24] 2) Investment Data - From January to November, fixed asset investment reached 44.40 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.6% [32] 3) Operational Data - The construction PMI for November was 49.60%, indicating a slight increase in new orders, with the business activity expectation index at 57.9% [34] 4) High-frequency Data - Cement shipment rates remained stable at 31.62%, while prices for both bagged and bulk cement showed differentiated fluctuations [36]