瑞达期货集运指数(欧线)期货日报-20251110

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core View of the Report The current freight rate market is greatly influenced by news, and the futures price is expected to fluctuate more intensely. It is recommended that investors be cautious, pay attention to the operation rhythm and risk control, and timely track geopolitical, shipping capacity, and cargo volume data [1]. 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs Futures Market Data - EC main contract closing price: 1778.200, down 33.3; EC secondary main contract closing price: 1604.9, up 17.70 [1] - EC2512 - EC2602 spread: 173.30, down 46.70; EC2512 - EC2604 spread: 612.10, down 35.30 [1] - SCFIS (European Line) (weekly): 1504.80, up 296.09; SCFIS (US West Line) (weekly): 1327.91, up 62.56 [1] - SCFI (Comprehensive Index) (weekly): 1058.17, up 36.78; CCFI (European Line) (weekly): 1366.85, up 43.04 [1] - Baltic Dry Bulk Index (daily): 2104.00, down 41.00; Panama - type Freight Index (daily): 1833.00, down 16.00 [1] - Average charter price (Panamax ship): 17564.00, unchanged; Average charter price (Cape - size ship): 28850.00, up 2368.00 [1] Industry News - China's Ministry of Commerce and General Administration of Customs announced to suspend the implementation of multiple export control measures from November 10, 2025, to November 10, 2026, covering super - hard materials, some rare - earth equipment and raw materials, lithium batteries, etc. Also, since November 10, the soybean export qualification of 3 US enterprises to China has been restored, and the import of US logs has resumed [1] - US Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer proposed a new plan to end the government shutdown, but the Republicans rejected it, though the exchange of proposals is seen as a sign of a possible loosening of the negotiation deadlock [1] - Fed Vice - Chair Jefferson said the Fed should be more cautious in future policy actions. New York Fed President Williams said the Fed may need to expand its balance sheet by buying bonds, and St. Louis Fed President Musalem expects 50 - 75 basis points of policy adjustment space [1] Market Analysis - On Monday, the prices of the container shipping index (European Line) futures showed differentiation. The main contract EC2512 fell 1.81%, and the far - month contracts had varying declines [1] - The latest SCFIS European Line settlement freight rate index rose 24.5% week - on - week, which is expected to support the recovery of freight rates. However, China's manufacturing PMI in October dropped seasonally, and the new export order index declined significantly, indicating a weak foundation for the recovery of terminal transport demand [1] - Mainstream shipping companies issued price - increase notices in November, but the price increase in late November has basically failed, and the consistency of shipping companies' price - increase efforts has differentiated [1] - The Middle East situation, especially the Israel - Palestine conflict, is in a delicate and unstable stage, delaying the expectation of Red Sea resumption of navigation. Germany's new government's proposed fiscal expansion policy may boost investors' confidence in the medium - term growth of the eurozone if more details are released [1]