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新天绿色能源(00956):售气量年内首次转正,单季业绩实现触底反弹
Changjiang Securities·2025-11-10 11:19

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company has experienced a rebound in sales volume for the first time this year, with a quarterly performance showing signs of recovery [2][6]. - The company's installed capacity has expanded, leading to a 9.2% year-on-year increase in controlled power generation, reaching 2.518 billion kWh in the third quarter [6]. - Despite a 3.03% year-on-year decrease in revenue to 3.541 billion yuan, the net profit attributable to shareholders surged by 122.97% to 147 million yuan due to cost control and increased investment income [2][6]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Sales Volume - The company reported a total sales volume of 944 million cubic meters in the third quarter, marking a 0.94% year-on-year increase, reversing the downward trend observed since the end of last year [6]. - The wholesale gas volume increased by 27.66% to 334 million cubic meters, while retail gas volume decreased by 21.99% to 308 million cubic meters [6]. Cost Management and Profitability - The company effectively controlled costs, resulting in a gross profit of 425 million yuan, a decline of 7.77% year-on-year, while financial expenses decreased by 15.70% to 255 million yuan [6]. - Investment income rose by 130.13% to 57 million yuan, contributing to the significant increase in net profit [6]. Future Outlook - The La Niña phenomenon is expected to lead to a colder winter, which may increase heating demand and positively impact gas sales and wind power generation [6]. - The company has adjusted its earnings forecast for 2025-2027, expecting profits of 2.038 billion yuan, 2.248 billion yuan, and 2.480 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.48 yuan, 0.53 yuan, and 0.59 yuan [6].