Ruida Futures(SZ:002961) Rui Da Qi Huo·2025-11-10 11:21Group 1: Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Group 2: Core View - The economic fundamentals continue to recover, and the implementation of broad fiscal policies requires a low - interest - rate environment. The market expects the central bank to purchase medium - and short - term bonds, which may lead to a decline in short - term interest rates and potentially drive long - term interest rates down. However, there is a potential suppression of long - term interest rates due to the recovery of risk appetite. It is recommended to try to go long on dips [2]. Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Futures Market - Futures Prices and Volumes: T, TF, and TL main contract closing prices rose by 0.01%, 0.02%, and 0.22% respectively, while TS remained unchanged. T and TF trading volumes increased by 3915 and 4624 respectively, while TS and TL decreased by 1360 and 3686 respectively [2]. - Futures Spreads: Some spreads changed, such as the TL2512 - 2603 spread increasing by 0.01, while others like T2512 - 2603 decreased by 0.03 [2]. - Futures Positions: T, TL main contract positions increased, while TF and TS decreased. The net short positions of the top 20 in T, TF, TS, and TL all increased [2]. 2. CTD and Active Bonds - CTD Bonds: The net prices of some CTD bonds changed, with 220017.IB decreasing by 0.1562 and 250018.IB increasing by 0.0390 [2]. - Active Bonds: The yields of 1 - year, 3 - year, and 5 - year active bonds decreased by 0.25bp, 0.25bp, and 0.10bp respectively, while the 7 - year and 10 - year yields increased by 0.25bp and 0.50bp respectively [2]. 3. Interest Rates - Short - term Interest Rates: Silver - pledged overnight, 7 - day, and 14 - day rates, as well as Shibor overnight, 7 - day, and 14 - day rates all increased [2]. - LPR Rates: The 1 - year and 5 - year LPR rates remained unchanged [2]. 4. Open Market Operations - The central bank conducted reverse - repurchase operations. The issuance scale was 1199 billion yuan, and the expiration scale was 783 billion yuan, with an interest rate of 1.4% for 7 - day reverse - repurchase [2]. 5. Industry News - Domestic: In October, CPI increased both month - on - month and year - on - year, core CPI improved, PPI increased month - on - month for the first time this year, and the year - on - year decline narrowed. The total value of goods trade in the first 10 months increased by 3.6% year - on - year, and in October, exports decreased by 0.8% while imports increased by 1.4% [2]. - Overseas: The US Senate reached an agreement to end the government shutdown. The US 10 - month ISM services PMI reached an 8 - month high, but the manufacturing PMI was far below expectations. The ADP employment increase in October was 42,000, exceeding expectations, but the previous value was revised down significantly [2].