HTSC·2025-11-10 11:58Investment Rating - The communication industry is rated as "Overweight" [10] - The communication equipment manufacturing sector is also rated as "Overweight" [10] Core Insights - The communication sector saw a significant increase in holdings, with the top ten funds holding 7.26% of the communication sector, up 3.58 percentage points from the previous quarter, marking the highest quarterly holding ratio since 2019 [2][3] - The sector's overweight ratio increased to 3.36%, up 2.90 percentage points from the previous quarter [3][14] - Key areas of investment include optical modules, liquid cooling, optical chips, and optical fiber cables, while operators, data centers, and Beidou systems saw reduced holdings [3][14] - The TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the communication sector as of November 7, 2025, is 43.62x, which is at the 69.3% historical percentile since early 2011 [3][14] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The communication index rose by 0.92% last week, while the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.08% and the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.19% [2][13] Fund Holdings - In Q3 2025, public funds increased their holdings in the communication sector, with significant increases in companies like Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Tianfu Communication, Yingweike, and Yuanjie Technology, with total market value increases of 82.43 billion, 78.93 billion, 9.29 billion, 4.06 billion, and 3.79 billion respectively [3][25] - The top five companies by increase in holdings during Q3 2025 saw stock price increases of 176.8%, 188.0%, 110.8%, 169.2%, and 120.3% respectively [25][26] Key Companies and Recommendations - Recommended companies include Xinyi Sheng, Zhongxing Communication, Ruijie Network, China Mobile, China Telecom, China Unicom, and Hengtong Optoelectronics, all rated as "Buy" [10][58] - The report highlights the potential for AI computing chain investments, particularly in optical modules and related technologies [2][3] Valuation and Future Outlook - The report anticipates continued growth in the AI computing sector, with companies like Xinyi Sheng expected to benefit significantly from the demand for high-speed products [59][62] - Adjustments to profit forecasts for companies like Zhongxing Communication and Ruijie Network reflect a cautious outlook due to market conditions, but long-term growth potential remains [59][62]