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地方政府与城投企业债务风险研究报告:无锡市
Lian He Zi Xin·2025-11-10 11:52

Group 1: Report Summary - The report focuses on the economic, fiscal, and debt situations of Wuxi City, its districts (counties, cities), and the debt - paying ability of local urban investment enterprises [4]. - Wuxi has obvious location advantages, a high - level economy, good fiscal revenue quality, and relatively low government debt burden. However, there are differences in economic and fiscal conditions among districts (counties, cities), and some urban investment enterprises face short - term debt - paying pressure [4]. Group 2: Wuxi City's Economic and Fiscal Strength (1) Regional Characteristics and Economic Development - Wuxi is an important part of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration, with obvious location advantages and convenient transportation. It has a high - level urbanization rate, a reasonable industrial structure, and developed private economy. The four landmark industries have multiple indicators ranking among the top three in Jiangsu Province [5]. - In 2024, Wuxi's GDP ranked third in Jiangsu Province, with a GDP growth rate of 5.8%. Its per - capita GDP ranked first in Jiangsu Province. From January to June 2025, its GDP was 773.515 billion yuan, with a year - on - year growth of 5.3% [8]. - The "465" modern industrial system construction is accelerating, and in 2024, the revenue scale of the "465" industrial cluster reached 1.81 trillion yuan [9][11]. - Wuxi has received strong support from the central and provincial governments in terms of fiscal transfer payments, special funds, and special loans from the National Development Bank [13]. (2) Fiscal Strength and Debt Situation - In 2024, Wuxi's general public budget revenue ranked third in Jiangsu Province, with good revenue quality and strong fiscal self - sufficiency. The government - sponsored fund revenue decreased year - on - year, and superior subsidies contributed to the comprehensive financial resources [17]. - By the end of 2024, Wuxi's government debt burden was at a relatively low level among prefecture - level cities in Jiangsu Province, with a government debt ratio of 115.81% and a government debt - to - GDP ratio of 16.05%, ranking fourth and second respectively (sorted from low to high debt burden) [18]. Group 3: Economic and Fiscal Conditions of Wuxi's Districts (Counties, Cities) (1) Economic Strength - The districts (counties, cities) under Wuxi have a high - level overall economic development, relatively balanced regional economic development, and a high - level urbanization rate. Among them, Jiangyin has the strongest overall economic strength, and Xinwu District has the highest per - capita GDP [19]. - In 2024, Jiangyin was the only county - level city in Wuxi with a GDP exceeding 500 billion yuan. The economic growth rates of the 7 districts (counties, cities) were relatively balanced, and most of them had a growth rate of over 6.00% [25]. (2) Fiscal Strength and Debt Situation Fiscal Revenue - In 2024, the fiscal revenue structure of Wuxi's districts (counties, cities) showed a pattern of "two strong, many stable, and one weak", with differences among regions. Tax revenue accounted for a high proportion and was relatively balanced among districts (counties, cities). Fund revenues decreased year - on - year due to the real - estate market [30]. - In terms of general public budget revenue scale, Jiangyin and Xinwu District ranked first, with over 25 billion yuan. Yixing, Xishan, and Huishan Districts were at a medium level, while Liangxi and Binhu Districts were relatively low [30]. - In terms of comprehensive financial resources, Jiangyin and Xinwu District were the strongest, with over 35 billion yuan. Except for Binhu and Jiangyin Districts, other districts (counties, cities) were highly dependent on fund revenues [37]. Debt - Since 2024, the government debt balances of Wuxi's districts (counties, cities) have been increasing, with relatively small differences in debt burden levels but heavy overall debt burdens. Jiangyin had the largest government debt scale, and Liangxi District had the heaviest debt burden [39]. - Wuxi and its districts (counties, cities) have strengthened debt monitoring and management, actively resolved hidden debts, and controlled debt risks [42]. Group 4: Debt - paying Ability of Wuxi's Urban Investment Enterprises (1) Overview - As of September 30, 2025, there were 61 urban investment enterprises with outstanding bonds in Wuxi, mainly at AA and AA+ levels. There have been no adjustments to the credit ratings and outlooks since 2024 [47]. (2) Bond Issuance - In 2024, the bond issuance scale of Wuxi's urban investment enterprises decreased year - on - year, and most districts' net bond financing scales decreased. The overall bond financing in 2024 was net repayment, and the trend continued in the first three quarters of 2025 [48]. (3) Debt - paying Ability Analysis - As of the end of 2024, the debt scale of Wuxi's urban investment enterprises increased, except for those in Jiangyin. Except for Jiangyin and Xinwu Districts, the debt burdens of urban investment enterprises in other regions increased [54]. - Wuxi, Huishan, and Jiangyin will have large - scale bond maturities within one year. Xishan, Huishan, and Liangxi Districts' cash - like assets have a general coverage of short - term debts, facing certain short - term debt - paying pressure [54]. - In 2024, the cash flow from financing activities of Wuxi's urban investment enterprises was mostly net inflow, but the overall scale decreased year - on - year, indicating a slowdown in the overall financing pace [62]. (4) Support and Guarantee Ability of Fiscal Revenue for Urban Investment Enterprises' Debts - The ratio of "total debt of urban investment enterprises + local government debt" to "comprehensive financial resources" in Wuxi's districts ranges from 196.64% to 694.85%, with Huishan District having the highest ratio [63].