沥青：厂库续累，情绪不振

Report Title - "Asphalt: Factory Inventory Continues to Accumulate, Sentiment is Weak" [1] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The asphalt market shows weak sentiment with factory inventory accumulation [1] - The trend strength of asphalt is neutral with a value of 0 [9] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Fundamental Tracking - Futures Data: For BU2512, the yesterday's closing price was 3,034 yuan/ton with a daily decline of 0.59%, and the overnight closing price was 3,022 yuan/ton with a decline of 0.40%. For BU2601, the yesterday's closing price was 3,036 yuan/ton with a decline of 0.39%, and the overnight closing price was 3,022 yuan/ton with a decline of 0.46%. The trading volume and open interest of both contracts decreased [1] - Spot Market Data: The Shandong wholesale price was 3,050 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan; the Yangtze River Delta wholesale price was 3,390 yuan/ton, down 40 yuan. The refinery operating rate was 33.50%, down 0.36% from the previous period, and the refinery inventory rate was 28.45%, up 0.60% [1] - Spread Data: The basis (Shandong - 12) was 16 yuan/ton, down 32 yuan; the 12 - 01 inter - period spread was - 2 yuan/ton, down 6 yuan; the Shandong - South China spread was - 300, down 40; the East China - South China spread was 40 yuan/ton, down 30 yuan [1] Market Information - Production: In the week of 20251104 - 20251110, the domestic asphalt weekly total output was 52.5 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 0.4 tons (0.8%) and a year - on - year decrease of 0.1 tons (0.2%). The cumulative output from January to November was 2715.6 tons, a year - on - year increase of 310.7 tons (12.9%) [15] - Inventory: As of November 10, 2025, the inventory of 54 asphalt sample factory warehouses was 68.8 tons, up 0.4% from November 6. The inventory of 104 asphalt social warehouses was 116.7 tons, down 3.5% from November 6 [15]