FICC日报:盘面行情切换,大消费火爆-20251111
Hua Tai Qi Huo·2025-11-11 02:52
- Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Report's Core View - The U.S. government may end the shutdown, and U.S. stocks rebounded overnight, but the risk of U.S. dollar liquidity still needs attention [3]. - In the domestic market, the rotation of the market has accelerated, with an obvious high - low switch. The large - consumption sector rose significantly on the day, but its sustainability remains to be seen. The semiconductor and new energy sectors declined, and the overall market still supports the index at key levels [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Analysis - International Relations: The U.S. officially announced a one - year suspension of the 301 investigation measures against China's shipbuilding and other industries. China announced a one - year suspension of the special port dues for U.S. ships and a one - year suspension of countermeasures against five U.S. subsidiaries of Hanwha Ocean Co., Ltd. China also added the U.S., Mexico, and Canada to the export control list of precursor chemicals for specific countries (regions) and separately listed 13 precursor chemicals for these three countries [1]. - U.S. Government Shutdown: After a 40 - day government shutdown, the U.S. Senate passed a procedural vote on a temporary appropriation bill to end the shutdown, but the final vote time has not been arranged, and the bill still needs to be voted on by the House of Representatives. It is possible that the U.S. government shutdown will end before this weekend [1]. - Stock Market: In the A - share spot market, the three major indexes opened higher and moved higher. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.53% to close at 4018.6 points, and the ChiNext Index fell 0.92%. Most industry sectors rose, with the large - consumption sector leading the gains, including beauty care, food and beverage, commerce and retail, and social services. The power equipment, machinery, and electronics sectors led the losses. The trading volume of the two markets in Shanghai and Shenzhen was about 2 trillion yuan. Overseas, the three major U.S. stock indexes all closed higher, with the Nasdaq rising 2.27% to 23527.17 points [1]. - Futures Market: In the futures market, the basis of IF, IC, and IM contracts declined. The trading volume of stock index futures increased, and the positions of IH, IF, and IC contracts rose simultaneously [2]. 3.2 Strategy - Overseas, although the U.S. government may end the shutdown and U.S. stocks rebounded overnight, attention should still be paid to the risk of U.S. dollar liquidity [3]. - Domestically, the rotation of the market has accelerated, with an obvious high - low switch. The large - consumption sector rose significantly on the day, but its sustainability remains to be seen. The semiconductor and new energy sectors declined, and the overall market still supports the index at key levels [3]. 3.3 Macroeconomic Charts - Include charts showing the relationship between the U.S. dollar index and A - share trends, U.S. Treasury yields and A - share trends, RMB exchange rate and A - share trends, and U.S. Treasury yields and A - share style trends [7][9]. 3.4 Spot Market Tracking Charts - Domestic Main Stock Index Daily Performance: On November 10, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4018.60, up 0.53%; the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13691.38, up 1.95%; the ChiNext Index closed at 3178.83, down 0.92%; the CSI 300 Index closed at 4695.05, up 0.35%; the SSE 50 Index closed at 3053.86, up 0.51%; the CSI 500 Index closed at 7343.80, up 0.22%; the CSI 1000 Index closed at 7563.25, up 0.28% [13]. - Also include charts of the trading volume of the two markets in Shanghai and Shenzhen and the margin trading balance [14]. 3.5 Stock Index Futures Tracking Charts - Trading Volume and Position: The trading volume of IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts increased, and the positions of IH, IF, and IC contracts rose, while the position of the IM contract decreased [16]. - Basis: The basis of IF, IC, and IM contracts declined, and specific basis data for different contracts and different periods are provided [38][41]. - Inter - period Spread: Data on the inter - period spreads of different contracts and different periods are provided [47][49]. - Also include charts of contract positions, position ratios, and foreign capital net positions of different contracts [17][21][32].