Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-11-11 04:13Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the defense and military industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the overall market performance [3][25]. Core Insights - The military industry is expected to enter an upward cycle as per the "14th Five-Year Plan" recommendations, with overall performance showing signs of recovery in Q4, leading to anticipated positive year-on-year growth [3][4]. - The report highlights that military trade is experiencing a significant demand surge due to increasing global geopolitical uncertainties, which is expected to create a new market landscape for international military trade [3][4]. - The report suggests increasing attention to the military sector, particularly focusing on next-generation equipment, unmanned/anti-unmanned weapons, and information/intelligent systems as key areas for investment [3][4]. Market Review - Last week, the Shenwan Defense and Military Index fell by 0.47%, while the overall market indices, including the Shanghai Composite Index, rose by 1.08% [4][11]. - The report notes that the defense and military sector's performance ranked 25th among 31 first-level industries, indicating underperformance relative to the broader market [4][11]. - The top five performing stocks in the defense sector last week included Aerospace Intelligent Equipment (up 25.45%), Triangle Defense (up 25.28%), and others, while the bottom five included Hangxin Technology (down 17.20%) and others [11][12]. Valuation Changes - The current PE-TTM for the Shenwan military sector is 78.66, placing it in the upper range historically, indicating a relatively high valuation compared to past performance [12][13]. - The report emphasizes that the aerospace and aviation equipment sectors are also experiencing elevated PE valuations, suggesting a strong market position [12][13]. Key Investment Targets - The report identifies key investment targets within the military sector, including high-end combat capabilities and new quality combat capabilities, with specific companies highlighted for their growth potential [3][4].