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宏观金融数据日报-20251111
Guo Mao Qi Huo·2025-11-11 05:13

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View - In the short term, the A-share market lacks a clear upward trend due to a relative policy vacuum at the macro level, with low trading volume and a continued volatile trend, currently in an accumulation phase. In the long term, the market is expected to have further upward potential, but the pace will be gradual. Key factors to watch for future market upswings include further release of overseas liquidity or substantial improvement signals in the domestic fundamentals [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market and Liquidity - The central bank conducted 119.9 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations yesterday, with 78.3 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net injection of 41.6 billion yuan. This week, a total of 495.8 billion yuan of reverse repurchases will mature in the central bank's open market, with daily maturities of 78.3 billion, 117.5 billion, 65.5 billion, 92.8 billion, and 141.7 billion yuan from Monday to Friday [3]. - Interest rates of various financial products changed: DRO01 closed at 1.48% with a 15.21 bp increase; DR007 at 1.50% with an 8.63 bp increase; GC001 at 1.21% with a 0.50 bp increase; GC007 at 1.48% with a 1.50 bp increase; SHBOR 3M at 1.58% with a 0.40 bp decrease; 5-year LPR remained unchanged at 3.50%; 1-year treasury bond yield was 1.40% with no change; 5-year treasury bond yield was 1.53% with a 0.25 bp decrease; 10-year treasury bond yield was 1.81% with no change; and 10-year US treasury bond yield was 4.11% with no change [3]. Stock Market Conditions - Yesterday, the stock market closed higher. The CSI 300 rose 0.35% to 4695.1, the SSE 50 rose 0.51% to 3053.9, the CSI 500 rose 0.22% to 7343.8, and the CSI 1000 rose 0.28% to 7563.3. The trading volume of the two markets was 2.1745 trillion yuan, an increase of 175.4 billion yuan from the previous trading day. Most industry sectors rose, with consumer sectors such as brewing, beauty care, tourism and hotels, food and beverages, and commercial department stores strengthening. Precious metals, airports, and jewelry sectors led the gains, while shipbuilding, small metals, and power supply equipment sectors led the losses [4]. - Trading volume and open interest of stock index futures changed: IF trading volume was 106,785, up 23.5%; IF open interest was 268,313, up 4.2%; IH trading volume was 45,910, up 21.4%; IH open interest was 96,711, up 6.3%; IC trading volume was 122,736, up 14.7%; IC open interest was 249,333, up 3.7%; IM trading volume was 194,473, up 3.7%; IM open interest was 354,677, down 0.5% [4]. - The premium and discount rates of stock index futures were as follows: IF premium/discount rates were 4.59% (current contract), 6.26% (near - term contract), 3.29% (quarterly contract), and 3.51% (average); IH premium/discount rates were - 0.04% (current contract), - 1.02% (near - term contract), 0.39% (quarterly contract), and 0.55% (average); IC premium/discount rates were 13.76% (current contract), 18.53% (near - term contract), 10.66% (quarterly contract), and 10.55% (average); IM premium/discount rates were 17.60% (current contract), 13.51% (near - term contract), 23.89% (quarterly contract), and 12.64% (average) [4].