Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a target price of 72.80 HKD based on a P/S valuation method [3][5]. Core Insights - The company, Fourth Paradigm (6682.HK), focuses on decision AI integrated with generative AI to meet the growing demand for intelligent decision-making in enterprises, addressing challenges such as understanding AI capabilities and deployment complexities [1][3]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the accelerating trend of enterprise intelligence over the next decade, leveraging its leading advantages in machine learning platforms and model development [3][8]. - Fourth Paradigm's revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 6.894 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 31.05% [5][79]. Summary by Sections 1. AI Supply and Demand Matching in Enterprise Intelligence - Enterprises are shifting from digitalization to intelligent decision-making, focusing on how to embrace AI effectively [13]. - Fourth Paradigm combines a foundational technology platform with vertical solutions and AI-generated systems to empower "AI+" initiatives [21][22]. 2. Benchmark Client Expansion - The company has seen a steady increase in benchmark clients, with revenue from these clients accounting for approximately 61.6% in the first half of 2025 [79][80]. - The intelligent agent technology enhances service capabilities across various sectors, including real estate, legal, manufacturing, and healthcare, demonstrating significant operational improvements [80][81]. 3. Advantages from Policy and Ecosystem - The company benefits from a favorable policy environment promoting AI adoption, with government initiatives aiming for over 90% application penetration of new intelligent terminals by 2030 [8][9]. - Fourth Paradigm's Prophet platform shows a strong market presence and scalability in the machine learning platform sector [8][9]. 4. Profit Forecast - The company is expected to turn profitable in 2025, with a projected net profit of 57 million RMB, marking a significant turnaround from a loss of 269 million RMB in 2024 [5][79]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to improve from -0.52 RMB in 2024 to 0.11 RMB in 2025, indicating a positive trend in profitability [5][79].
第四范式（06682）：决策AI紧扣企业智能化需求，融合生成AI加速落地