Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company's fundamentals are under pressure, compounded by increased management expenses, leading to a decline in profitability [4][5]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 15.1 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 4.5%, while net profit was 330 million, a year-on-year increase of 7.3%. However, the estimated net profit attributable to the company for Q3 2025 is 24 million, down 83% from 143 million in the same period last year [2][4]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company achieved a revenue of 15.1 billion in Q3 2025, which is a 4.5% decrease year-on-year. The net profit for the same period was 330 million, reflecting a 7.3% increase year-on-year. However, the estimated net profit attributable to the company for Q3 2025 is 24 million, down 83% from 143 million in the same period last year [2][4][5]. Industry Analysis - The cement industry is expected to remain under pressure in 2025, with the company actively maintaining market order. The company's sales volume decreased more than the industry average, indicating a commitment to price stability. In the first three quarters of 2025, the national cement production was 1.259 billion tons, a year-on-year decrease of 5.2% [5]. - In the Guangdong and Guangxi markets, cement production growth rates for the first three quarters were -2.3% and -1.8%, respectively, performing better than the national average [5]. Financial Metrics - The company's overall gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 16.9%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points compared to 15.2% in the same period of 2024. This increase was primarily due to a decrease in the cost of cement product sales compared to the previous year, although it was partially offset by a decline in the gross margin of aggregates and other segments [6]. - The gross margins for cement products, concrete, and aggregates in the first three quarters of 2025 were 17.1%, 14.7%, and 25.4%, respectively, compared to 12.6%, 12.4%, and 38.6% in the same period of 2024 [6]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates that supply-side governance will provide price recovery elasticity. The cement industry is focusing on overproduction governance, which may lead to the elimination of some production capacity. If production is strictly aligned with registered capacity, it could optimize production order and improve actual capacity utilization [6]. - The expected earnings for 2025 and 2026 are 510 million and 830 million, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 21 and 13 times [6].
华润建材科技（01313）：基本面承压，叠加管理费用增加，盈利下滑